With the dispositions of the Wapiti and Hythe assets now complete, Delphi is now singularly focused on its Bigstone assets where it holds 139.5 gross sections (118.1 net) of Montney rights and 81.5 gross sections (60.0 net) of contiguous shallow Cretaceous rights. The Bigstone Montney now represents 87 percent of corporate production.
The Company has finished the 37 stage slickwater frac completion on its fifth well of the 2015 program at 14-24-60-23W5 (0.83 net). Gross final estimated costs for drilling and completion were a company record low of $6.5 million, 36 percent lower than the average drill and complete cost in 2014 of $10.2 million. The well is expected to commence production late in the fourth quarter of 2015.
Delphi has also completed the drilling of its sixth horizontal Montney well of 2015 at 14-27-60-23W5 (“14-27”) and is expected to release the rig shortly. The 14-27 well (0.88 net) was drilled to a total depth of 5,770 metres with a horizontal lateral length of 2,887 metres. The well was drilled from spud to total depth in approximately 26 days, a Company record average penetration rate of 219 metres/day. Completion operations, utilizing the Company’s newly optimized slickwater frac design over a 37 stage liner, will commence in the first quarter of 2016.
On December 1, 2015, the Company began transporting most of its natural gas under its Alliance full path firm service agreement, eliminating exposure to production curtailments and Alberta based natural gas price weakness. Delphi had experienced production downtime in 2015 due to TCPL curtailments and incurred a loss in natural gas revenue of approximately $5.0 million due to CREC pricing on the Alliance pipeline.
Delphi continues to pursue operating efficiency gains and operating cost reductions in the field. The Company’s 100 percent owned water disposal facility is operational and has been taking all of the approximate 1,200 bbls/d of mostly frac water from its Montney production. Avoiding water disposal costs at third party facilities is expected to result in a reduction to operating costs, estimated to be $0.70 per barrel of oil equivalent (“boe”) for the Company’s Bigstone Montney production. In addition, the capital costs on Delphi’s completion operations for its future Montney development wells are expected to be reduced by approximately $0.2 – $0.3 million per completion. As the disposal well continues to take water on vacuum, Delphi is evaluating the potential for accepting water volumes from other producers.
The Company is also preparing to install a pipeline to access higher quality fuel gas to improve the efficiency of its 100 percent owned Montney 7-11 compression and dehydration facility, increasing the throughput capacity and decreasing required maintenance costs.
Delphi estimates $6.0 – $7.0 million in reduced operating costs in 2016 over 2015, as the more efficient Montney production replaces the lower netback properties disposed of in 2015. In addition, with the disposition of the lower netback properties, the Company has reduced its staff by 34 percent resulting in expected general and administrative savings of $2.0 – $2.5 million.
The performance of the 17 wells now completed with slickwater fracs and on production have average IP90, IP365, and IP730 of 1,479 boe/d (15 wells), 1,008 boe/d (12 wells) and 698 boe/d (2 wells), respectively. Using the most recent gross estimated drill and complete costs for 14-24-60-23W5 of $6.5 million, capital efficiencies have improved to $4,395/boe/d, $8,526/boe/d and $9,311/boe/d for IP90, IP365, and IP730, respectively. The average performance of the 17 wells remains consistent with the Company’s type well estimated ultimate recovery of 1.2 million boes.
Reduced capital costs and lower operating costs combined with a superior asset has enabled the Company to continue to deploy capital to its Montney play with a high return on investment.
Delphi’s lenders (National Bank of Canada, Bank of Nova Scotia and Alberta Treasury Branches) have completed their semi-annual review of the Company’s senior credit facility. The review primarily incorporated the disposition of the Company’s greater Hythe assets which closed in November, the monetization of several risk management contracts over the past few months, continued success of the Montney development program at Bigstone, adding proved developed producing reserves and the lenders’ view of future commodity prices. As a result of this review, the Company’s senior credit facility was reduced by five percent to $132.5 million, consisting of a revolving facility of $117.5 million and an operating facility of $15.0 million. Additionally, in an effort to minimize costs, the Company eliminated $35.0 million of credit capacity, which was only accessible to the Company upon consent from the lenders, reducing the payment of standby fees.
At December 31, 2015, the Company expects to have outstanding bank indebtedness of approximately $100.0 million, equivalent to 75 percent drawn on its $132.5 million credit facility. Including the subordinated debt facility, fully drawn at $14.0 million, the total credit capacity of Delphi currently stands at $146.5 million. With net debt reduced by approximately $60.0 million, 33 percent, as a result of debt repayments from the proceeds of disposition undertaken in 2015, the Company expects to save approximately $2.0 – $2.5 million in interest costs on an annual basis.
The Company remains well hedged though 2016 and into 2017 with most of its natural gas hedge position focused on the Chicago market rather than AECO market. The Company has approximately 82 percent of its current natural gas volumes fixed at a price of $4.38 per mcf (excluding transportation costs) for 2016 and approximately 53 percent of its current condensate volumes hedged at a floor price of $79.12 per barrel. The table below summarizes the Company’s current commodity price risk management contracts.
|Natural Gas (Cdn)||Dec 2015||2016||2017|
|% Hedged (1)||15||%||9||%||8||%|
|Fixed Price (Cdn $/mcf)||$||3.95||$||3.84||$||3.96|
|Strip Price (Cdn $/mcf)||$||2.22||$||2.33||$||2.80|
|Natural Gas (US)||Dec 2015||2016||2017|
|% Hedged (1)||70||%||73||%||23||%|
|Fixed Price (US $/mmbtu)||$||3.34||$||3.50||$||3.66|
|Strip Price (US $/mmbtu)||$||2.06||$||2.34||$||2.74|
|% US Revenue Hedged||59||%||83||%||136||%|
|US/Cdn FX Hedge Rate||$||1.242||$||1.263||$||1.284|
|Condensate (Cdn)||Dec 2015||2016|
|% Hedged (1)||81||%||53||%|
|Floor Price (WTI Cdn $/bbl)||$||80.00||$||78.50|
|Ceiling Price (WTI Cdn $/bbl) (2)||–||$||85.00|
|Strip Price (WTI Cdn $/bbl)||$||51.20||$||58.77|
|Volume hedged (1)||84||%||76||%||24||%|
|(1)||Percent hedged is based on average natural gas production of 32 mmcf/d and 1,500 bbls/d of condensate and C5+.|
|(2)||400 bbls/d have upside to a ceiling price of $85.00 per barrel at a deferred cost of $4.02 per barrel.|
The Company has recently monetized certain NYMEX based natural gas risk management contracts for the 2017/2018 time period realizing proceeds of U.S. $3.7 million (CDN $4.9 million), with approximately $2.5 million representing incremental cash flow for the fourth quarter. The fair value of the of the Company’s remaining financial contracts is estimated to be an asset of approximately $20.0 million. The Company has maintained an active commodity risk management program over the past ten years, realizing over $83.0 million in net hedging gains.
With incremental cash flow in the fourth quarter from the recent monetization of risk management contracts discussed above, the Company has updated its guidance, reflecting the strong performance of the Montney through 2015. The Company has achieved the midpoint of its annual and exit production guidance.
Post Wapiti and Hythe Dispositions
|Average Annual Production (boe/d)||9,400 – 9,600|
|Exit Production Rate (boe/d)||8,100 – 8,300|
|AECO Natural Gas Price (Cdn $ per mcf)||$2.70|
|WTI Oil Price (US $ per bbl)||$49.50|
|Natural Gas Liquids Price (Cdn $ per bbl)||19.50|
|Foreign Exchange Rate (US/Cdn)||1.27|
|Well Count (Drilled and Completed)||5.0 gross|
|Net Capital Program ($ million)||($10.0) – ($8.0)|
|Funds from Operations ($ million)||$40.0 – $42.0|
|Net Debt at December 31 ($ million)||$122.0 – $124.0|
|Net Debt / Q4 FFO (annualized)||2.6 – 2.8|
Delphi continues to navigate this very challenging lower commodity price environment with a singular focus on its core Bigstone Montney asset complemented with significant strategic non-core dispositions. This focused effort is successfully improving well productivity, driving down capital costs, grinding operating costs lower, alleviating TCPL transportation issues and creating greater financial flexibility. All of these successes are contributing to a sustainable economic business, even in a “lower for longer” commodity price environment.
The Company remains committed to a conservative approach to its capital spending plans into 2016 to preserve financial flexibility. Capital spending remains dependent upon realized commodity prices and level of service cost reductions. Delphi expects to communicate 2016 guidance early in the first quarter of 2016.
On behalf of the Board of Directors and all the employees of Delphi, we would like to thank our shareholders for their continued support.
Forward-Looking Statements. The release contains forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. These statements relate to future events or the Company’s future performance and are based upon the Company’s internal assumptions and expectations. All statements other than statements of present or historical fact are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by the use of any of the words “expect”, “anticipate”, “continue”, “estimate”, “may”, “will”, “should”, “believe”, “intends”, “forecast”, “plans”, “guidance”, “budget” and similar expressions.
More particularly and without limitation, this release contains forward-looking statements and information relating to petroleum and natural gas production estimates and weighting, projected crude oil and natural gas prices, future exchange rates, expectations as to royalty rates, expectations as to transportation and operating costs, expectations as to general and administrative costs and interest expense, expectations as to capital expenditures and net debt, planned capital spending, future liquidity and Delphi’s ability to fund ongoing capital requirements through operating cash flows and its credit facilities, supply and demand fundamentals for oil and gas commodities, timing and success of development and exploitation activities, cash availability for the financing of capital expenditures, access to third-party infrastructure, treatment under governmental regulatory regimes and tax laws and future environmental regulations.
Furthermore, statements relating to “reserves” are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitable in the future.
The forward-looking statements and information contained in this release are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Delphi. The following are certain material assumptions on which the forward-looking statements and information contained in this release are based: the stability of the global and national economic environment, the stability of and commercial acceptability of tax, royalty and regulatory regimes applicable to Delphi, exploitation and development activities being consistent with management’s expectations, production levels of Delphi being consistent with management’s expectations, the absence of significant project delays, the stability of oil and gas prices, the absence of significant fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and interest rates, the stability of costs of oil and gas development and production in Western Canada, including operating costs, the timing and size of development plans and capital expenditures, availability of third party infrastructure for transportation, processing or marketing of oil and natural gas volumes, prices and availability of oilfield services and equipment being consistent with management’s expectations, the availability of, and competition for, among other things, pipeline capacity, skilled personnel and drilling and related services and equipment, results of development and exploitation activities that are consistent with management’s expectations, weather affecting Delphi’s ability to develop and produce as expected, contracted parties providing goods and services on the agreed timeframes, Delphi’s ability to manage environmental risks and hazards and the cost of complying with environmental regulations, the accuracy of operating cost estimates, the accurate estimation of oil and gas reserves, future exploitation, development and production results and Delphi’s ability to market oil and natural gas successfully to current and new customers. Additionally, estimates as to expected average annual production rates assume that no unexpected outages occur in the infrastructure that the Company relies on to produce its wells, that existing wells continue to meet production expectations and any future wells scheduled to come on in the coming year meet timing and production expectations.
Commodity prices used in the determination of forecast revenues are based upon general economic conditions, commodity supply and demand forecasts and publicly available price forecasts. The Company continually monitors its forecast assumptions to ensure the stakeholders are informed of material variances from previously communicated expectations.
Financial outlook information contained in this release about prospective results of operations, financial position or cash flows is based on assumptions about future events, including economic conditions and proposed courses of action, based on management’s assessment of the relevant information currently available. Readers are cautioned that such financial outlook information contained in this release should not be used for purposes other than for which it is disclosed.
Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements and information are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct and such forward-looking statements should not be unduly relied upon. Since forward-looking statements and information address future events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Delphi’s actual results, performance or achievements could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking statements will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits Delphi will derive therefrom. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should assumptions underlying forward-looking statements prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to, the risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general such as operational risks in development, exploration and production, delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures, the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production rates, costs and expenses, commodity price and exchange rate fluctuations, marketing and transportation, environmental risks, competition from others for scarce resources, the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources, changes in governmental regulation of the oil and gas industry and changes in tax, royalty and environmental legislation. Additional information on these and other factors that could affect the Company’s operations or financial results are included in the Company’s most recent Annual Information Form and other reports on file with the applicable securities regulatory authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com).
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Furthermore, the forward-looking statements contained in this release are made as of the date of this release for the purpose of providing the readers with the Company’s expectations for the coming year. The forward-looking statements and information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Delphi undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws. The forward-looking statements contained in this release are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement.
Basis of Presentation. For the purpose of reporting production information, reserves and calculating unit prices and costs, natural gas volumes have been converted to a barrel of oil equivalent (boe) using six thousand cubic feet equal to one barrel. A boe conversion ratio of 6:1 is based upon an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. This conversion conforms with the Canadian Securities Administrators’ National Instrument 51-101 when boes are disclosed. Boes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation.
As per CSA Staff Notice 51-327 initial test results and initial production performance should be considered preliminary data and such data is not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery.
Non-IFRS Measures. The release contains the terms “funds from operations”, “funds from operations per share”, “net debt”, “net debt to funds from operations ratio”, “operating netbacks” “cash netbacks” and “netbacks” which are not recognized measures under IFRS. The Company uses these measures to help evaluate its performance. Management considers netbacks an important measure as it demonstrates its profitability relative to current commodity prices and costs of production. Management uses funds from operations to analyze performance and considers it a key measure as it demonstrates the Company’s ability to generate the cash necessary to fund future capital investments and to repay debt. Funds from operations is a non-IFRS measure and has been defined by the Company as cash flow from operating activities before accretion on long term and subordinated debt, decommissioning expenditures and changes in non-cash working capital from operating activities. The Company also presents funds from operations per share whereby amounts per share are calculated using weighted average shares outstanding consistent with the calculation of earnings per share. Delphi’s determination of funds from operations may not be comparable to that reported by other companies nor should it be viewed as an alternative to cash flow from operating activities, net earnings or other measures of financial performance calculated in accordance with IFRS. The Company has defined net debt as the sum of long term debt and subordinated debt plus/minus working capital excluding the current portion of the fair value of financial instruments. Net debt is used by management to monitor remaining availability under its credit facilities. Net debt to funds from operations ratio is defined as net debt to annualized quarterly funds from operations, based on the most recently completed quarter. This ratio is used to calculate the Company’s compliance with its net debt to funds from operations ratio covenant. Operating netbacks have been defined as revenue less royalties, transportation and operating costs. Cash netbacks have been defined as operating netbacks less interest and general and administrative costs. Netbacks are generally discussed and presented on a per boe basis.
For the calculation of finding, development and acquisition costs, recycle ratio and net asset value per share, refer to the Company’s press release of crude oil and natural gas reserves information dated February 25, 2015.
DELPHI ENERGY CORP.
DAVID J. REID
President & CEO
(403) 265-6207 (FAX)
DELPHI ENERGY CORP.
BRIAN P. KOHLHAMMER
Senior V.P. Finance & CFO
(403) 265-6207 (FAX)
DELPHI ENERGY CORP.
300, 500 – 4 Avenue S.W.
Calgary, Alberta, T2P 2V6
(403) 265-6207 (FAX)