“While 2012 was a challenging year in the junior oil and gas sector generally and for Arcan in particular, we moved well ahead on our strategic objectives and positioned the company for success,” commented Interim Chief Executive Officer Terry McCoy. “Our successful application of horizontal drilling and multi-stage fracture stimulation technology with established waterflood oil recovery techniques is developing our large Swan Hills asset base. The value of our investment in waterflood continued to improve the quantity and quality of our reserves adding both producing and proved reserves over the prior year and up solidly in all categories from our mid-year 2012 update. Our focus on waterflood, stabilizing production, improving well results, reducing operating costs and lowering new well costs to $4.5 million per well is intended to strengthen shareholder value over time.”
Achievement Against Strategic Objectives
Specific Arcan goals during the last three quarters of 2012 have been:
Commenting on Arcan’s 2012 results, President Douglas Penner said, “We achieved a number of our key strategic, operational and financial objectives in 2012, as we continued to demonstrate the strong potential of the Swan Hills Beaverhill Lake play. Arcan has sufficient liquidity on its bank line to continue to execute its business plan for the balance of 2013 and we plan to take a prudent approach to further development activities in light of market conditions. The plan is simple and transparent: to take advantage of the infrastructure we have in place, develop the asset base and recognize the value of our waterflood activities in order to maximize return on invested capital to ensure long-term sustainability and growth within our funds from operations and available resources.”
2012 Highlights
FINANCIAL AND OPERATING SUMMARY:
Certain selected financial and operations information for the three months and year ended December 31, 2012 and the 2011 comparative information are outlined below and should be read in conjunction with Arcan’s audited annual Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying Management Discussion and Analysis.
Consolidated Financial and Operating Summary
| Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||
| December 31, 2012 | December 31, 2011 | December 31, 2012 | December 31, 2011 | ||||||
| Financials ($000s except per share amounts) | |||||||||
| Oil and NGL sales | 28,809 |
32,760 | 133,181 |
103,408 | |||||
| Natural gas sales | 65 | 319 | 398 | 1,561 | |||||
| Petroleum and natural gas revenue | 28,874 |
33,079 | 133,579 |
104,969 | |||||
| Pumping and stimulation services revenue | 1,896 | 2,869 | 6,428 | 3,220 | |||||
| Cash flow from operating activities | 5,952 | 15,351 | 44,886 | 44,889 | |||||
| Funds from operations (1) | 7,793 | 14,988 | 39,214 | 44,472 | |||||
| Per share basic and diluted (1)(3) | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.40 | 0.49 | |||||
| Net loss | (27,187 | ) | (3,262 | ) | (48,984 | ) | (779 | ) | |
| Per share basic and diluted (3) | (0.28 | ) | (0.03 | ) | (0.50 | ) | (0.01 | ) | |
| Capital expenditures, net – cash | 5,579 | 91,189 | 151,095 | 250,286 | |||||
| Total assets | 613,389 | 527,369 | 613,389 | 527,369 | |||||
| Total liabilities | 365,402 | 238,813 | 365,402 | 238,813 | |||||
| Debenture face value | 171,250 | 171,250 | 171,250 | 171,250 | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 247,987 | 288,556 | 247,987 | 288,556 | |||||
| Bank loan | 159,422 | – | 159,422 | – | |||||
| Net debt and working capital (4) | 305,270 | 177,426 | 305,270 | 177,426 | |||||
| Operating | |||||||||
| Production: | |||||||||
| Crude oil and NGLs (bbls per day) | 3,944 | 3,805 | 4,437 | 3,097 | |||||
| Natural gas (Mcf per day) | 201 | 1,026 | 395 | 1,074 | |||||
| BOE per day (6:1) (2) | 3,978 | 3,976 | 4,503 | 3,276 | |||||
| Average realized price: | |||||||||
| Crude oil and NGLs ($ per bbl) | 79.39 | 93.58 | 82.01 | 91.49 | |||||
| Natural gas ($ per Mcf) | 3.52 | 3.38 | 2.76 | 3.98 | |||||
| Combined price per BOE ($ per BOE) | 78.90 | 90.43 | 81.05 | 87.80 | |||||
| Netback ($ per BOE) | |||||||||
| Petroleum and natural gas sales | 78.90 |
90.43 | 81.05 |
87.80 | |||||
| Pumping and stimulation services revenue | 5.18 | 7.85 | 3.90 | 2.69 | |||||
| Royalties | (13.07 | ) | (14.58 | ) | (12.60 | ) | (16.32 | ) | |
| Production and operating expenses | (19.24 | ) | (22.18 | ) | (20.08 | ) | (22.35 | ) | |
| Cost of sales for pumping and stimulation services | (10.27 | ) | (6.58 | ) | (5.66 | ) | (2.66 | ) | |
| Consolidated operating netback ($/BOE) | 41.50 | 54.94 | 46.61 | 49.16 | |||||
| Realized economic hedging gains (losses) – cash | 2.86 | (0.14 | ) | 0.33 | (0.33 | ) | |||
| Cash G&A | (10.84 | ) | (13.64 | ) | (8.33 | ) | (8.32 | ) | |
| Other revenue | – | 0.21 | – | 0.16 | |||||
| Finance expenses – cash | (11.82 | ) | (7.48 | ) | (9.17 | ) | (5.34 | ) | |
| Corporate netback | 21.70 | 33.89 | 29.44 | 35.33 | |||||
| Common Shares (000s) | |||||||||
| Shares outstanding | 97,860 | 97,761 | 97,860 | 97,761 | |||||
| Weighted average – basic and diluted (3) | 97,860 | 97,001 | 97,828 | 90,450 | |||||
Notes:
(1) The reader is referred to the section “Non-GAAP Measurements”.
(2) The reader is referred to the section “Legal Advisories”.
(3) Basic and diluted weighted average shares are the same in 2012 and 2011 as the Corporation incurred a loss in these periods.
(4) Net debt and working capital is calculated by subtracting the Corporation’s current liabilities, bank debt, and convertible debentures from its current assets.
2012 Reserves Highlights
| Reserves Volumes (MMBOE) | Reserves Values ($MM NPV 10) | |||||
| Dec 31/12 | June 30/12 * | Dec 31/11 | Dec 31/12 | June 30/12 * | Dec 31/11 | |
| PDP | 11.4 | 10.8 | 10.6 | 278.1 | 301.7 | 294.0 |
| TP | 23.4 | 19.1 | 21.6 | 399.1 | 426.4 | 490.2 |
| P+P | 38.7 | 35.7 | 41.0 | 611.6 | 659.6 | 829.2 |
| *Reserves as at June 30, 2012 adjusted by removing asset sales (as press released November 6, 2012) which occurred in the third quarter. | ||||||
| Reserves Volumes (MMBOE) | Dec 31/12 | Dec 31/11 | Change | 2012 Production | Asset Sales | 2012 Reserve Additions | Additions Percentage |
| PDP | 11.4 | 10.6 | 0.8 | (1.8) | (0.7) | 3.3 | 31.1 |
| TP | 23.4 | 21.6 | 1.8 | (1.8) | (3.0) | 6.6 | 30.6 |
| P+P | 38.7 | 41.0 | (2.3) | (1.8) | (5.7) | 5.2 | 12.7 |
Waterflood Progress
Operations Update
Stock Option Cancellation
Holders of an aggregate 5,050,000 stock options of the Company have voluntarily surrendered such options for nominal consideration. Following the surrender of these options the Company has 2,312,334 options outstanding.
Restricted Share Unit Plan adopted
The Company has adopted a restricted share unit retention plan. The sole purpose of this plan is retention oriented, in light of market conditions. Directors, officers and employees were awarded a total of $2.3 million in value of restricted shares under this plan, which vest in one half increments on January 31, 2014 and January 31, 2015.
Outlook and Guidance – Development and Waterflood
In 2013, Arcan will seek to continue to build investors’ confidence in its further growth potential through continued operational success in the Swan Hills light oil play. Arcan continues to focus solely on developing its assets in the Swan Hills Beaverhill Lake light oil reef. Arcan has primary components of well delineation, infrastructure and waterflood approvals in place that are expected to sustain consistent production results and generate long term secure cash flow from the development of this significant asset. Arcan has budgeted cash flow and capital for 2013 at $52.0 million and estimates production to average 4,300 to 4,700 BOE per day in 2013. A cost reduction focus in the latter half of 2012 and into 2013 is expected to deliver reductions in operating and drilling costs going forward and generate maximum returns on invested capital. Arcan has almost completed executing its winter capital program and expects a curtailment of capital during the second and third quarters of 2013, capturing weather and access related capital efficiencies, providing for debt reduction.
Arcan’s management (“Management“) continues to look strategically at all of Arcan’s assets and will consider all opportunities for development and acceleration as they arise. The continued implementation of enhanced oil recovery through waterflood is expected to stabilize Arcan’s production base and deliver low cost reserves. To secure cash flow Arcan is hedged at approximately 50% of production for 2013 to 2015, which is expected to provide Arcan with a stable financial base. Arcan continues to implement changes to maximize shareholder value and provide secure growth per share. Arcan recently updated its website with a frequently asked questions section and its recent corporate presentation.
OIL AND GAS RESERVES
Arcan’s Statement of Reserves Data and Other Oil and Gas Information, Report on Reserves Data by Independent Qualified Reserves Evaluator and Report of Management and Directors on Oil and Gas Disclosure were prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook for the year ended December 31, 2012 and is dated March 26, 2013.
Summary of Oil and Gas Reserves – Forecast Prices and Costs
The table below provides a summary of the oil, NGLs and natural gas reserves attributable to Arcan, as evaluated by Arcan’s independent qualified reserves evaluator, GLJ, and contained in their report dated March 26, 2013, effective December 31, 2012 (the “GLJ Report“) based on forecast price and cost assumptions. The tables summarize the data contained in the GLJ Report and, as a result, may contain slightly different numbers than those contained in the original report due to rounding. Also due to rounding, certain columns may not add exactly. Readers should review the definitions and information contained in “Presentation of Arcan’s Oil and Gas Reserves” and “Abbreviations” in Arcan’s Annual Information Form, dated April 11, 2013, in conjunction with the following table and notes. All of Arcan’s reserves are on-shore in Canada.
| Light & Medium Oil | Natural Gas Liquids | Natural Gas(1) | Total | ||||||
| Reserves Category | Gross (2) (Mbbls) |
Net (3) (Mbbls) |
Gross (2) (Mbbls) |
Net (3) (Mbbls) |
Gross (2) (MMcf) |
Net (3) (MMcf) |
Gross (2) (Mbbls) |
Net (3) (Mbbls) |
|
| Proved | |||||||||
| Developed Producing | 10,231 | 7,514 | 565 | 376 | 3,739 | 3,140 | 11,420 | 8,414 | |
| Developed Non-Producing | 240 | 217 | 21 | 17 | 197 | 177 | 295 | 264 | |
| Undeveloped | 10,233 | 8,087 | 668 | 515 | 4,775 | 4,272 | 11,696 | 9,315 | |
| Total Proved | 20,704 | 15,819 | 1,254 | 908 | 8,711 | 7,590 | 23,410 | 17,992 | |
| Total Probable | 13,414 | 9,577 | 865 | 615 | 6,240 | 5,466 | 15,320 | 11,103 | |
| Total Proved + Probable | 34,118 | 25,396 | 2,120 | 1,524 | 14,951 | 13,056 | 38,730 | 29,096 | |
Notes:
(1) Estimates of reserves of natural gas include associated and non-associated gas.
(2) “Gross” reserves are Arcan’s working interest share of remaining reserves before the deduction of royalties.
(3) “Net” reserves are Arcan’s working interest share of remaining reserves less all Crown, freehold, and overriding royalties and interests owned by others.
GLJ employed the following pricing, exchange rate and inflation rate assumptions as of December 31, 2012, in the GLJ Report in estimating reserves data using forecast prices and costs(1):
| Medium and Light Crude Oil | Natural Gas | ||||||
| Year | Inflation | WTI Cushing Oklahoma 40°API (US$/bbl) |
Edmonton Par Price 40°API ($/bbl) |
Cromer Medium 29.3°API ($/bbl) |
Alberta Gas Reference Price Plant Gate ($/MMBTU) |
AECO – C Spot ($/MMBTU) |
Exchange Rate (US$/CDN$) |
| 2012 (actual) | 2.0 | 94.10 | 86.86 | 81.56 | 2.23 | 2.45 | 1.001 |
| 2013 | 2.0 | 90.00 | 85.00 | 79.90 | 3.19 | 3.38 | 1.000 |
| 2014 | 2.0 | 92.50 | 91.50 | 84.18 | 3.63 | 3.83 | 1.000 |
| 2015 | 2.0 | 95.00 | 94.00 | 86.48 | 4.08 | 4.28 | 1.000 |
| 2016 | 2.0 | 97.50 | 96.50 | 88.78 | 4.53 | 4.72 | 1.000 |
| 2017 | 2.0 | 97.50 | 96.50 | 88.78 | 4.75 | 4.95 | 1.000 |
| 2018 | 2.0 | 97.50 | 96.50 | 88.78 | 5.02 | 5.22 | 1.000 |
| 2019 | 2.0 | 98.54 | 97.54 | 89.74 | 5.12 | 5.32 | 1.000 |
| 2020 | 2.0 | 100.51 | 99.51 | 91.55 | 5.22 | 5.43 | 1.000 |
| 2021 | 2.0 | 102.52 | 101.52 | 93.40 | 5.33 | 5.54 | 1.000 |
| 2022 | 2.0 | 104.57 | 103.57 | 95.28 | 5.44 | 5.64 | 1.000 |
Note:
(1) All pricing in the above table, excluding inflation and the exchange rate, is escalated at 2.0 percent per year thereafter Thereafter, inflation is assumed to be constant at 2.0 percent and the exchange rate is assumed to be constant at 1.000.
Net Asset Value
As detailed in the table below, the NAV of $3.58 per diluted share at December 31, 2012 (on the basis of P+P reserves discounted at ten percent) has decreased by 51 percent over December 31, 2011. The decrease in net asset value is primarily attributable to the impact of lower commodity prices. In 2012, Arcan invested $181.9 million and grew the Corporation’s proved developed producing reserves by 0.8 MMBOE, its proved reserves by 1.8 MMBOE while proved and probable reserves declined by 2.3 MMBOE.
The following NAV calculations are presented for December 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011 and incorporate estimates that may not be comparable year-over-year and are presented as at one point in time. GLJ performed an independent evaluation on Arcan’s reserves, however the land values and the value of Stimsol Canada Inc. (“StimSol“), Arcan’s wholly-owned services subsidiary, are based on Management estimates. The working capital deficit (including working capital, bank debt and debentures) is from the December 31, 2012 audited financial statements and the dilution proceeds are computed by taking the outstanding stock options that were in the money at December 31, 2012 multiplied by their exercise prices (only 35,000 were in the money at an $0.88 per share exercise price compared to the 1.02 per share December 31, 2012 closing share price of Arcan). Reserve estimates are derived from the GLJ Report, which has an effective date of December 31, 2012. Readers are cautioned that this presentation does not reflect all aspects of the Corporation and that estimates of future net revenue do not represent fair market value. The January 1, 2013 pricing assumptions are listed below with market changes having a material impact on this NAV calculation.
| Net Asset Value | December 31, 2012 | December 31, 2011 | ||||||
| ($000s except number of shares and per share) | (P+P discounted at 5%) |
(P+P discounted at 10%) | (P+P discounted at 5%) | (P+P discounted at 10%) | ||||
| Present value of reserves | 894,871 | 611,582 | 1,198,169 | 829,242 | ||||
| Undeveloped acreage | 56,000 | 56,000 | 87,000 | 87,000 | ||||
| StimSol | 15,000 | 15,000 | 30,000 | 30,000 | ||||
| Working capital deficit (including debt) (1) | (332,403 | ) | (332,403 | ) | (209,966 | ) | (209,966 | ) |
| Dilution proceeds(2) | 31 | 31 | 27,509 | 27,509 | ||||
| Estimated value | 633,499 | 350,210 | 1,132,711 | 763,786 | ||||
| Shares (thousands) (2) | 97,895 | 97,895 | 104,906 | 104,906 | ||||
| Estimated NAV per share (2) | 6.47 | 3.58 | 10.80 | 7.28 | ||||
Note:
(1) Debt for 2012 and 2011 includes both Arcan debentures at their full face value of $171.3 million.
(2) Share figures for 2012 include all dilutive securities, namely: 97,860,013 common shares and 35,000 stock options that are in the money at their average exercise price of $0.88 (these were all dilutive securities exercisable below the $1.02 December 31, 2012 share trading price). Share figures for 2011 include all dilutive securities, namely: 97,760,846 common shares and 7,144,833 stock options that are in the money at their average exercise price of $3.85 (these were all dilutive securities exercisable below the $4.98 December 31, 2011 share trading price).
FD&A Costs
For the year ended December 31, 2012 (removing the impact of dispositions), Arcan added 5.2 MMBOE of P+P reserves (38.7 MMBOE closing reserves plus 1.8 MMBOE production plus 5.7 MMBOE of asset sales less 41.0 MMBOE opening reserves) to its $170.6 million capital program ($181.9 million of capital estimated December 31, 2012 financial statements (audited) plus $427.1 million of closing future development capital in the GLJ Report (P+P) less $492.1 million closing future development capital in Arcan’s December 31, 2011 reserve report (P+P) plus $53.7 million of future capital related to asset sales) to calculate a $32.97 FD&A cost per P+P BOE. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent fiscal year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total FD&A costs related to reserves additions for that year.
The FD&A costs are depicted below. Arcan has invested substantially in its infrastructure and waterflood through facilities, pipelines, drilling water source wells, and drilling and converting producing vertical wells into injector wells. In waterflood projects, the majority of the capital expended were one-time expenses at the front end that are anticipated to produce results over the long-term. With a front loaded capital profile and recoveries expected to elevate over time, Arcan anticipates that the full impact of its waterflood development in Swan Hills and the related shift in reserves will be realized over the next few years, reducing FD&A costs in the future through the benefit of existing infrastructure.
| P+P FD&A Costs (including Dispositions & Acquisitions) | 2012 | 2011 | 3 year | Life To Date | |||||
| Total capital ($ millions) | 117.0 | 518.7 | 896.0 | 1,115.1 | |||||
| Disp. / Acq. capital ($millions) | (30.8 | ) | 24.0 | 46.0 | 46.0 | ||||
| Total capital ($ millions) | 86.2 | 542.7 | 942.0 | 1,161.1 | |||||
| Reserve additions (MMBOE) | (0.5 | ) | 21.1 | 33.1 | 44.2 | ||||
| P+P FD&A ($ per BOE) | — | $ | 25.71 | $ | 28.44 | $ | 26.25 | ||
| Proved FD&A Costs (including Dispositions & Acquisitions) | 2012 | 2011 | 3 year | Life To Date | |||||
| Total capital ($ millions) | 203.2 | 356.7 | 769.1 | 981.0 | |||||
| Disp. / Acq. capital ($millions) | (30.8 | ) | 24.0 | 46.0 | 46.0 | ||||
| Total capital ($ millions) | 172.4 | 380.7 | 815.1 | 1,027.0 | |||||
| Reserve additions (MMBOE) | 3.6 | 9.0 | 20.1 | 28.9 | |||||
| Proven FD&A ($ per BOE) | $ | 47.67 | $ | 42.52 | $ | 40.59 | $ | 35.53 | |
| P+P FD&A Costs (excluding Dispositions & Acquisitions) | 2012 | 2011 | 3 year | Life To Date | ||||
| Total capital ($ millions) | 170.6 | 518.7 | 949.7 | 1,115.1 | ||||
| Reserve additions (MMBOE) | 5.2 | 21.1 | 37.1 | 47.7 | ||||
| Proven FD&A ($ per BOE) | $ | 32.97 | $ | 24.58 | $ | 25.60 | $ | 23.36 |
| Proved FD&A Costs (excluding Dispositions & Acquisitions) | 2012 | 2011 | 3 year | Life To Date | ||||
| Total capital ($ millions) | 238.9 | 356.7 | 804.7 | 981.0 | ||||
| Reserve additions (MMBOE) | 6.6 | 9.0 | 21.6 | 34.2 | ||||
| Proven FD&A ($ per BOE) | $ | 36.27 | $ | 39.84 | $ | 37.21 | $ | 28.70 |
Recycle Ratio
Recycle ratio is a measure for evaluating the effectiveness of a company’s reinvestment program. The ratio measures how well a company replaced every BOE of production. The table below depicts that Arcan received a net $46.61 per BOE sold and it cost $32.97 in 2012 to find a replacement BOE. Arcan strives for a recycle ratio of 2.0 or higher. In 2012, Arcan achieved a recycle ratio of 1.4 times, including the infrastructure investments. Arcan determined it was important to demonstrate the effectiveness of the combination of the horizontal multi-stage fracture wells across the Ethel land base, where waterflood has been started and will be expanded in 2013, as well as drilling in new areas across the expanded land base.
For the year ended December 31, 2011, Arcan estimated that it had a 2.0 times recycle ratio on 21.1 MMBOE P+P reserve additions and a $24.58 FD&A cost (including changes to future development capital). Life to date, Arcan estimates it has a recycle ratio of 1.8 times based on a $23.36 P+P FD&A (including changes to future development capital) and a $42.02 operating netback.
| Recycle Ratio (including Dispositions & Acquisitions) | 2012 | 2011 | 3 year | Life to Date |
| Operating netback ($/BOE) | 46.61 | 49.13 | 43.38 | 42.02 |
| Proven finding and development costs ($/BOE) | 47.68 | 42.52 | 40.59 | 35.53 |
| Proven reinvestment efficiency ratio | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Proven plus probable finding and development costs ($/BOE) | — | 25.71 | 28.44 | 26.25 |
| Proven plus probable reinvestment efficiency ratio | — | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Recycle Ratio (excluding Dispositions & Acquisitions) | 2012 | 2011 | 3 year | Life to Date |
| Operating netback ($/BOE) | 46.61 | 49.13 | 43.38 | 42.02 |
| Proven finding and development costs ($/BOE) | 36.27 | 39.84 | 37.21 | 28.70 |
| Proven reinvestment efficiency ratio | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Proven plus probable finding and development costs ($/BOE) | 32.97 | 24.58 | 25.60 | 23.36 |
| Proven plus probable reinvestment efficiency ratio | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Reserve Life Index
Using the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2012 average production of 3,978 BOE per day and December 31, 2012 year-end proved plus probable reserves, Arcan has a reserve life index of approximately 27 years. Arcan estimates that the reserve life index will decline as production rates are anticipated to elevate.
| Production (fourth quarter ended December 31, 2012 average BOE per day) | 3,978 |
| Proved reserves (MBOE) | 23,410 |
| Proved reserve life index (years) | 16.1 |
| Proved plus probable reserves (MBOE) | 38,730 |
| Proved plus probable reserve life index (years) | 26.7 |
AUDITED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS AND ANNUAL INFORMATION FORM
Arcan has filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities its audited financial statements and accompanying Management Discussion and Analysis for the three months and year ended December 31, 2012. Arcan has also filed the Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2012. These filings are available at www.sedar.com and the Corporation’s website at www.arcanres.com.
ANNUAL AND SPECIAL GENERAL MEETING
Arcan’s annual and special meeting is currently scheduled for June 6, 2013 at 3:00 PM at the Petroleum Club in the McMurray Room, located at 319 – 5th Avenue SW, Calgary, Alberta.
ABOUT ARCAN RESOURCES LTD.
Arcan Resources Ltd. is an Alberta, Canada corporation that is principally engaged in the exploration, development and acquisition of petroleum and natural gas located in Canada’s Western Sedimentary Basin.
Legal Advisories
All information contained in the press release relating to reserves comes from the GLJ Report dated March 26, 2013, which has an effective date of December 31, 2012, and was prepared by GLJ, a qualified reserves evaluator, in accordance with the COGE Handbook. The disclosure was made assuming that development of each property in respect of which the estimate is made will occur, without regard to the likely availability of funding required for that development. Readers are also cautioned that the estimated future net revenue values do not represent fair market value.
BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. The calculation of BOEs is based on a conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet (“Mcf“) of natural gas to one barrel (“bbl“) of oil based on an energy equivalency conversion primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In addition, given that the value ratio based on the current price of oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from six to one, utilizing a BOE conversion ratio of six Mcf to one bbl would be misleading as an indication of value.
Estimates of reserves and future net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation.
Additional information about the Corporation, including the Corporation’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2012, is available under Arcan’s profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Non-GAAP Measurements
Readers are cautioned that this press release contains the term “funds from operations”, which should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, cash provided by operating activities or net earnings, as determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP“), which is within the framework of International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS“), as an indicator of Arcan’s performance. Arcan also presents “funds from operations per share”, whereby funds from operations is divided by the basic weighted average number of common shares of Arcan outstanding to determine per share amounts. Operating and corporate netbacks are also presented. Operating netbacks represent Arcan’s revenue, less royalties and operating expenses, and corporate netbacks represent Arcan’s operating netback, less realized economic hedging losses, general and administrative (“G&A“) and interest expense, in order to determine the amount of funds generated by production. Operating and corporate netbacks have been presented on a per BOE basis, as well.
Arcan determines funds from operations as cash flow from operating activities before changes in non-cash working capital as follows:
| Funds from Operations | |||||||
| Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||||
| ($000’s) | December 31, 2012 | December 31, 2011 | December 31, 2012 | December 31, 2011 | |||
| Cash flow from operating activities (per IFRS) | 5,952 | 15,351 | 44,886 | 44,889 | |||
| Change in non-cash working capital | 1,841 | (363 | ) | (5,672 | ) | (417 | ) |
| Funds from operations | 7,793 | 14,988 | 39,214 | 44,472 | |||
These measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Management believes that funds from operations and operating and corporate netbacks are useful supplemental measures as they provide an indication of the ability of Arcan to fund future growth through capital investment and/or repay debt. These measures have been described and presented in this press release in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with additional information regarding Arcan’s liquidity and its ability to generate funds to finance its operations. Arcan’s method of calculating funds from operations may differ from that of other companies, and, accordingly, may not be comparable.
Readers are cautioned that this press release contains the term “net asset value”, which Management believes is a useful supplemental measure as it provides a measure of the potential value of the Corporation. Arcan’s method for calculating NAV is detailed in this press release in the section “Net Asset Value” and may differ from that of other companies, and, accordingly, may not be comparable. This measure does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore is unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Management believes there is no GAAP measure that is directly comparable to the NAV calculation, although there are GAAP financial statement amounts used in the calculation that have been articulated in that section of the press release, and readers are cautioned in their use of the measure.
Readers are cautioned that this press release contains the term “finding, development, and acquisition” costs which Management believes is a useful supplemental measure as it provides a measure of the capital costs to add proved and probable reserves. Arcan’s method for calculating FD&A costs is detailed in this press release in the section “FD&A Costs” and may differ from that of other companies, and, accordingly, may not be comparable. This measure does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore is unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Management believes there is no GAAP measure that is comparable to the FD&A calculation, although there are GAAP financial statement amounts used in the calculation that have been articulated in that section of the press release, and readers are cautioned in their use of the measure.
Readers are cautioned that this press release contains the term “recycle ratio” which Management believes is a useful supplemental measure as it provides a measure for evaluating the effectiveness of a Corporation’s reinvestment program. Arcan’s method for calculating the recycle ratio is detailed in this press release in the section “Recycle Ratio” and may differ from that of other companies, and, accordingly, may not be comparable. This measure does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore is unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Management believes there is no GAAP measure that is comparable to the recycle ratio calculation, although there are GAAP financial statement amounts used in the calculation that have been articulated in that section of the press release, and readers are cautioned in their use of the measure.
Readers are cautioned that this press release contains the term “reserve life index” which Management believes is a useful supplemental measure as it provides a measure for estimating the number of years it will take to produce the Corporation’s reserves at current production levels. Arcan’s method for calculating the reserve life index is detailed in this press release in the section “Reserve Life Index” and may differ from that of other companies, and, accordingly, may not be comparable. This measure does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore is unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Management believes there is no GAAP measure that is comparable to the reserve life index calculation and readers are cautioned in their use of the measure.
Forward-Looking Information and Statements
This press release contains certain forward-looking information and statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words ”expect”, ”anticipate”, ”continue”, ”estimate”, ”guidance”, ”objective”, ”ongoing”, ”may”, ”will”, ”project”, ”should”, ”believe”, ”plans”, ”intends”, “possible” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or statements. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this press release contains forward-looking information and statements pertaining to, among other things, the following: current and year-to-date anticipated production and production to be brought on stream; year end production exit rates; the application and modification of horizontal, multi-stage fracture technologies including expectations respecting the application of additional fracture stimulation stages; Arcan’s expectations respecting its growth and activities throughout the remainder of 2013, including its continued transition into a sustainable producer of oil reserves; Arcan’s ability to execute on its business plans, including plans to take a prudent approach to future development activities and continued focus on the Swan Hills Beaverhill Lake light oil reef; future growth including development, exploration, acquisition, construction and operational activities and related expenditures; Arcan’s liquidity position and the ability of Arcan to execute its business plan therefrom; the timing, method and results of drilling and waterflood operations; the focus of the 2013 waterflood expansion activities; waterflood and CO2 recoveries; asset write downs, including a write down of Arcan’s acid inventory; Arcan’s continued efforts to reduce its raw acid exposure; future liquidity and financial capacity and resources; the expected benefits of Arcan’s hedging program; the potential inherent in Arcan’s Swan Hills land base and the expected benefits from the development thereof; reserve life index; the timing and location of the upcoming shareholder meeting; estimates of all-in well cost reductions; estimated additional drilling locations; the completion of the Ethel pipeline and the timing of the effects thereof; expectations relating to increased shareholder value and growth per share; results from operations and financial ratios; the volume and product mix of Arcan’s oil and gas production; the timing of the vesting of the restricted share units; cost and expense estimates and expectations; Arcan’s income taxes and tax liabilities; oil and natural gas prices and the US$ to CDN$ exchange rate; recovery; the amount of asset retirement obligations; cash flow ratios and sensitivities; royalty rates and their impact on Arcan’s operations and results; and capital expenditures.
The forward-looking information and statements contained in this press release reflect several material factors and expectations and assumptions of Arcan including, without limitation: that Arcan will continue to conduct its operations in a manner consistent with past operations; the accuracy of current horizontal production data, historical well production and waterflood and CO2 recovery results; the general continuance of current or, where applicable, assumed industry conditions; continuity of reservoir conditions across Arcan’s Swan Hills land base; availability of debt and/or equity sources to fund Arcan’s capital and operating requirements as needed; the continuance of existing and, in certain circumstances, proposed tax and royalty regimes; the accuracy of the estimates of Arcan’s reserve volumes; the accuracy of current horizontal production data; and certain commodity price and other cost assumptions.
Arcan believes the material factors, expectations and assumptions reflected in the forward-looking information and statements are reasonable at this time but no assurance can be given that these factors, expectations and assumptions will prove to be correct. The forward-looking information and statements included in this press release are not guarantees of future performance and should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking information or statements including, without limitation: for reasons currently unanticipated, Arcan’s production rates may not increase in the manner currently expected; the application and modification of horizontal, multi-stage fracture technologies including the application of additional fracture stimulation stages may not have the impact currently anticipated by Arcan; Arcan’s capital spending and operational plans for 2013 may not be completed in the timelines anticipated, in the manner anticipated or at all and the execution of such plans may not have the results currently anticipated by Arcan; water injection and CO2 may not have the impact on production currently anticipated by Arcan; currently unforeseen issues may arise in the continuing integration of the business and operations of Arcan and StimSol and acquisition may not positively impact Arcan’s business and operations in the manner currently anticipated or at all; changes in commodity prices; unanticipated operating results or production declines; waterflood and CO2 impacts; Arcan may be unable to solve its mechanical/operational issues in the timelines anticipated, in the manner anticipated or at all; shareholder value may not be maximized in the manner suggested by Arcan or at all; changes in tax or environmental laws or royalty rates; increased debt levels or debt service requirements; inaccurate estimation of Arcan’s oil and gas reserves volumes; limited, unfavourable or no access to debt or equity capital markets; inaccuracies in Arcan’s calculation of reserve life index; for reasons currently unforeseen, the current drilling locations identified by Arcan may prove to be unsuitable or unavailable and drilling on the locations identified may not occur; increased costs and expenses; the impact of competitors; reliance on industry partners; reviews of Arcan’s credit facility and/or budget may not occur on the timelines anticipated or at all; and certain other risks detailed from time to time in Arcan’s public disclosure documents including, without limitation, those risks identified in this press release, and in Arcan’s annual information form, copies of which are available on Arcan’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com.
This press release contains reserves information. The process of estimating reserves is complex. It requires significant judgments and decisions based on available geological, geophysical, engineering and economic data. These estimates may change substantially as additional data from ongoing development activities and production performance becomes available and as economic conditions impacting oil and gas prices and costs change. The reserve estimates contained herein are based on current production forecasts, prices and economic conditions. As circumstances change and additional data becomes available, reserve estimates also change. Estimates made are reviewed and revised, either upward or downward, as warranted by the new information. Revisions are often required due to changes in well performance, prices, economic conditions and governmental restrictions. Although every reasonable effort is made to ensure that reserve estimates are accurate, reserve estimation is an inferential science. As a result, the subjective decisions, new geological or production information and a changing environment may impact these estimates. Revisions to reserve estimates can arise from changes in year-end oil and gas prices, and reservoir performance. Such revisions can be either positive or negative.
The forward-looking information and statements contained in this press release speak only as of the date of this press release, and Arcan does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise them to reflect new events or circumstances, except as may be required pursuant to applicable laws.
Arcan Resources Ltd.
Terry McCoy
Interim Chief Executive Officer
(403) 262-0321
tmccoy@arcanres.com
Arcan Resources Ltd.
Douglas Penner
President
(403) 262-0321
dpenner@arcanres.com
Arcan Resources Ltd.
Suite 2200, 500 – 4th Avenue S.W.
Calgary, AB T2P 2V6