increase in expected capital expenditures.
Manitok would like to caution the readers that changes to the drilling and production schedules may be necessary from time to time in order to capture value from new opportunities or gain efficiencies in its operations. Given the relatively low number of drills Manitok will execute in a one year period and the potentially high initial production rates associated with these wells, these changes may initially have a negative short term impact to funds from operations. However that does not materially change the ultimate value created over the life of the well.
Manitok’s anticipated capital expenditures and estimated production results are based upon various assumptions as to equipment availability, well production rates, well drainage areas, success rates, timing and costs of future well drilling, the availability of capital, future costs and availability of labour and services.
Below is a table with Manitok’s 2013 fourth quarter guidance.
|Q4 2013 Production|
|Annual (boe/d)||4,600 – 4,800|
|% Oil and liquids||54% – 56||%|
|Exit rate (boe/d)||5,300 – 5,500|
|% Oil and liquids||54% – 56||%|
|Q4 2013 Benchmark pricing|
|Crude oil – WTI (US$)||95.75|
|$CAD/$US exchange rate||1.04|
|Crude oil – WTI ($CAD)||99.58|
|Differential – WTI ($CAD) to Realized||(12.84||)|
|Natural gas – AECO daily spot ($/mmbtu)||3.44|
|Q4 2013 Operating netback ($/boe)||34.56|
|Q4 2013 Funds from operations netback ($/boe)||30.81|
|Q4 2013 Funds from operations||$13 – $14 million|
|Capital expenditures, net||$46 – $48 million|
|Net debt at year end||$32 – $34 million|
Initial 2014 Guidance
Due to the changes in management and the Encana Agreement, Manitok is in the process of formulating a 2014 budget. Manitok anticipates providing more detailed guidance early in 2014. The table below is meant to provide a starting point to understand Manitok’s expectations for 2014.
|Year||Initial 2014 Guidance|
|Annual (boe/d)||6,000 – 6,200|
|% Oil and liquids||62% – 65||%|
|Exit rate (boe/d)||7,100 – 7500|
|% Oil and liquids||67% – 70||%|
|2014 Benchmark pricing|
|Crude oil – WTI (US$)||90.00|
|$CAD/$US exchange rate||1.035|
|Crude oil – WTI ($CAD)||93.15|
|Differential – WTI ($CAD) to Realized||(10.00||)|
|Natural gas – AECO daily spot ($/mmbtu)||3.30|
|2014 Operating netback ($/boe)||35.90|
|2014 Funds from operations netback ($/boe)||31.80|
|2014 Funds from operations||$68 – $72 million|
|Capital expenditures, net||$100- $102 million|
|Net debt at Dec 31, 2014 (credit facilities of $105.0 million)||$60 – $64 million|
Manitok anticipates a 2014 capital expenditure budget of approximately $100.0 to $102.0 million. It is anticipated that approximately $58.0 million will be spent on drilling, completions, workovers and equipping for light oil in the Alberta Foothills, $40.0 million for drilling, completions, and equipping for light oil in the Entice area and $3.0 million spent on land and seismic. The budget will be financed with funds from operations and Manitok’s existing $105.0 million credit facilities.
Manitok is a public oil and gas exploration and development company focusing on conventional oil and gas reservoirs in the Canadian foothills and Southeast Alberta. The Corporation will utilize its experience and expertise to develop the untapped conventional sweet oil and liquids-rich natural gas pools in both the Foothills and Southeast Alberta areas of the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.
For further information view our website at www.manitokenergy.com.
This press release contains forward-looking statements. More particularly, this press release contains statements concerning planned capital expenditures for the remainder of 2013 and for 2014, the breakdown of planned capital expenditures by class for the remainder of 2013 and for 2014, the anticipated 2013 and 2014 average and exit rates of production, anticipated funds from operations and the anticipated year end net debt and the development and growth potential of Manitok’s properties.
The forward-looking statements in this press release are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Manitok, including expectations and assumptions concerning the success of future drilling and development activities, the performance of existing wells, the performance of new wells, the successful application of technology, prevailing weather conditions, commodity prices, royalty regimes and exchange rates and the availability of capital, labour and services.
Although Manitok believes that the expectations and assumptions on which the forward-looking statements are based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking statements because Manitok can give no assurance that they will prove to be correct. Since forward-looking statements address future events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to, risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general (e.g., operational risks in development, exploration and production; delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of reserves estimates; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production, costs and expenses; and health, safety and environmental risks), uncertainty as to the availability of labour and services, commodity price and exchange rate fluctuations, unexpected adverse weather conditions and changes to existing laws and regulations. Certain of these risks are set out in more detail in Manitok’s current Annual Information Form, which is available on Manitok’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com.
The forward-looking statements regarding Manitok’s expected 2013 and 2014 funds from operations are included herein to provide readers with an understanding of Manitok’s anticipated funds from operations and Manitok’s ability to fund its expenditures based on the assumptions described herein. Readers are cautioned that this information may not be appropriate for other purposes.
Forward-looking statements are based on estimates and opinions of management of Manitok at the time the statements are presented. Manitok may, as considered necessary in the circumstances, update or revise such forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, but Manitok undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by applicable securities laws.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This press release contains references to measures used in the oil and natural gas industry such as “funds from operations”, “funds from operations netback”, “funds from operations per share”, “operating netback”, “working capital deficiency (surplus)” and “net debt”. These measures do not have any standardized meanings prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP“) and therefore, reported amounts may not be comparable measures reported by other companies where similar terminology is used. These measures have been described and presented in this press release in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with additional information regarding Manitok’s liquidity and its ability to generate funds to finance its operations.
Funds from operations should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, cash provided by operating, investing and financing activities or net earnings as determined in accordance with GAAP, as an indicator of Manitok’s performance or liquidity. Funds from operations is used by Manitok to evaluate operating results and Manitok’s ability to generate cash flow to fund capital expenditures and repay indebtedness. Funds from operations or funds from operations netback denotes cash flow from operating activities as it appears on the Corporation’s Statement of Cash Flows before decommissioning expenditures and changes in non-cash operating working capital. Funds from operations or funds from operations netback is also derived from net income (loss) plus non-cash items including deferred income tax expense, depletion and depreciation expense, exploration and evaluation expense, impairment expense, stock-based compensation expense, accretion expense, acquisition-related expenses, unrealized gains or losses on financial instruments and gains or losses on asset divestitures. Funds from operations per share denotes funds from operations divided by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding. Operating netback denotes petroleum and natural gas revenue and realized gain (loss) on financial instruments less royalty expenses, operating expenses and transportation and marketing expenses. Working capital deficiency (surplus) includes current assets less current liabilities excluding the current portion of the amount drawn on the credit facilities and the fair value of financial instruments. Manitok uses net debt as a measure to assess its financial position. Net debt includes current liabilities less current assets excluding the current portion of the fair value of financial instruments.
Barrels of Oil Equivalent
The term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe“) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. Per boe amounts have been calculated using a conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet (6 mcf) of natural gas to one barrel (1 bbl) of oil. The boe conversion ratio of 6 mcf to 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.