Five-Year Plan Highlights1
| Key Metrics | 2017 | 2017 – 2021F CAGR2 | 2021F | ||
| Production (mboe/day) | 320 – 335 | 4.8% | 390-400 | ||
| Funds from operations3 | $3.3B | 9% | ~$4.8B | ||
| Free cash flow3 | $750M | 12% | ~$1.2B | ||
| Upstream operating cost/bbl | $14.25 | ||||
| Downstream refining margins/bbl | $14.75 | >$16 | |||
| Earnings break-even oil price (US WTI)3 | ~$43.60 | ~$37 | |||
| Cash break-even oil price (US WTI) 3 | ~$33.50 | ~$32 | |||
| Ranges and Targets | 2017-2021F | ||||
| Sustaining capital3 | Average $1.9B | ||||
| Capital expenditures | Average $3.3B | ||||
| Average proved reserve replacement ratio | Target >130% | ||||
| Net debt to FFO3 | |||||
| (1) Based on oil price of $50 US WTI in 2017, $55 in 2018, and $60 in 2019 through 2021. AECO priced at $2.50 Cdn in 2017 and $3.00 thereafter | |||||
| (2) Compound annual growth rate | |||||
| (3) Non-GAAP measures, refer to advisories | |||||
CALGARY, Alberta, May 30, 2017 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Husky Energy will hold its Investor Day in Toronto today to present a five-year plan expected to grow funds from operations at a compounded rate of nine percent a year.
Husky’s plan includes continued cost structure reductions and provides for returns-focused growth.
“We have transformed Husky to grow profitably in this new, lower commodity price era,” said CEO Rob Peabody. “With a significantly reduced break-even and one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry, we are set to further develop a deep portfolio of investment opportunities that will allow us to compound returns, generate increased free cash flow and return cash to shareholders.”
Under Husky’s plan, funds from operations are expected to grow from about $3.3 billion in 2017 to about $4.8 billion in 2021. Free cash flow is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 12 percent, rising from about $750 million in 2017 to about $1.2 billion in 2021.
“Production will increase steadily over our five-year plan, with funds from operations and free cash flow growing at much higher rates as a result of ongoing reductions in our cost structure,” added Peabody.
As a result of continued cost efficiencies, capital spending guidance for 2017 has been reduced by $100 million to $2.5 – $2.6 billion.
Husky’s Five-Year Plan Highlights:
Two Core Businesses
Husky’s go-forward strategy focuses on two core businesses: an integrated Canada-U.S. upstream and downstream corridor and offshore production in the Asia Pacific and Atlantic regions. Both businesses have strong prospects to generate increased free cash flow over the five-year plan, with built-in measures to mitigate volatility.
Integrated Corridor – North American Upstream and Downstream
Husky has a large and growing inventory of heavy oil thermal projects in the Lloydminster region of Saskatchewan and Alberta, as well as the Tucker Thermal Project near Cold Lake and the Sunrise Energy Project north of Fort McMurray. These projects are physically integrated with the Downstream business, which provides for increased margin capture, secured U.S. market access and free cash flow growth.
Thermal bitumen production at the end of 2016 was approximately 120,000 barrels per day (bbls/day), a 55 percent increase since 2015. Husky expects to add 40,000 bbls/day of new thermal bitumen nameplate capacity over the next five years. A 10,000 bbls/day thermal bitumen project is under construction at Rush Lake 2, and three additional 10,000 bbls/day thermal bitumen projects are progressing in Saskatchewan at Dee Valley, Spruce Lake North and Spruce Lake Central. Husky has identified at least 14 additional Lloyd thermal developments for potential advancement.
Tucker thermal bitumen production is currently averaging about 23,000 bbls/day and with new wells being commissioned, production is expected to ramp up towards 30,000 bbls/day in 2018. At Sunrise, gross production is now about 40,000 bbls/day, with 14 new well pairs in the process of being tied-in and placed on production by the end of 2017.
Supporting this thermal growth is Western Canada production, which is now more than 70 percent gas-weighted. This provides a supply and natural hedge for Husky’s energy requirements at its thermal projects and refineries.
The final leg of the corridor is Husky’s Downstream assets consisting of its storage facilities, Lloydminster Upgrader, asphalt plant and refining capacity in the PADD II district of the U.S. Midwest, which creates processing and marketing options. Husky’s five-year plan includes targeted investments to increase feedstock flexibility, optimize the product slate and increase margin capture:
Offshore
Husky currently invests in two offshore production regions – Asia Pacific, offshore China and Indonesia; and Atlantic, offshore Newfoundland and Labrador. Each region provides for high netback production, with robust near-term investment opportunities and the ability to generate immediate free cash flow growth.
Asia Pacific
Atlantic
2017 Investor Day
Members of Husky’s senior management team will meet with investors and analysts today to discuss the Company’s five-year plan. Presentations will be webcast and will be available at www.huskyenergy.com
| Location: | Civic Ballroom, Sheraton Centre Toronto Hotel |
| 123 Queen St. W, Toronto, Ontario |
Presentations begin at 10 a.m. Eastern Time. The webcast may be accessed approximately 10 minutes before the scheduled start time. A webcast archive and transcript will be available for 90 days following the presentation.
Husky Energy is a Canadian-based integrated energy company. It is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta, Canada and its common shares are publicly traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol HSE. More information is available at www.huskyenergy.com
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain statements in this presentation, including “financial outlook,” are forward-looking statements and information (collectively “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation, Section 21E of the United States Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and Section 27A of the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking and not historical facts.
Some of the forward-looking statements may be identified by statements that express, or involve discussions as to, expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases such as “will likely result”, “are expected to”, “will continue”, “is anticipated”, “is targeting”, “estimated”, “intend”, “plan”, “projection”, “could”, “aim”, “vision”, “goals”, “objective”, “target”, “schedules” and “outlook”). In particular, forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to, references to:
Certain of the information in this presentation is “financial outlook” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The purpose of this financial outlook is to provide readers with disclosure regarding the Company’s reasonable expectations as to the anticipated results of its proposed business activities. Readers are cautioned that this financial outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes.
Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected by the forward-looking statements presented in this presentation are reasonable, the Company’s forward-looking statements have been based on assumptions and factors concerning future events that may prove to be inaccurate. Those assumptions and factors are based on information currently available to the Company about itself and the businesses in which it operates. Information used in developing forward-looking statements has been acquired from various sources including third party consultants, suppliers, regulators and other sources.
Because actual results or outcomes could differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements, investors should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, which contribute to the possibility that the predicted outcomes will not occur. Some of these risks, uncertainties and other factors are similar to those faced by other oil and gas companies and some are unique to Husky.
The Company’s Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2016 and other documents filed with securities regulatory authorities (accessible through the SEDAR website www.sedar.com and the EDGAR website www.sec.gov) describe risks, material assumptions and other factors that could influence actual results and are incorporated herein by reference.
New factors emerge from time to time and it is not possible for management to predict all of such factors and to assess in advance the impact of each such factor on the Company’s business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. The impact of any one factor on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty as such factors are dependent upon other factors, and the Company’s course of action would depend upon management’s assessment of the future considering all information available to it at the relevant time. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made and, except as required by applicable securities laws, the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
NON-GAAP MEASURES
This presentation contains certain terms which do not have any standardized meanings prescribed by IFRS and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. None of these measures are used to enhance the Company’s reported financial performance or position. With the exception of funds from operations and free cash flow, there are no comparable measures to these non-GAAP measures in accordance with IFRS. The following non-GAAP measures are considered to be useful as complementary measures in assessing Husky’s financial performance, efficiency and liquidity:
DISCLOSURE OF OIL AND GAS INFORMATION
Unless otherwise indicated: (i) projected and historical production volumes provided represent the Company’s working interest share before royalties; and (ii) historical production volumes provided are for the year ended December 31, 2016.
The Company uses the term “barrels of oil equivalent” (or “boe”), which is consistent with other oil and gas companies’ disclosures, and is calculated on an energy equivalence basis applicable at the burner tip whereby one barrel of crude oil is equivalent to six thousand cubic feet of natural gas. The term boe is used to express the sum of the total company products in one unit that can be used for comparisons. Readers are cautioned that the term boe may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. This measure is used for consistency with other oil and gas companies and does not represent value equivalency at the wellhead.
The Company uses the term “operating costs per barrel”, which is consistent with other oil and gas producer’s disclosures, and is calculated by dividing total operating costs for the Company’s thermal bitumen or non-thermal production, as applicable, by the total barrels of such thermal or non-thermal production, as applicable. The term is used to express operating costs on a per barrel basis that can be used for comparison purposes.
The Company uses the term “reserve replacement ratio”, which is consistent with other oil and gas companies’ disclosures. Reserve replacement ratios for a given period are determined by taking the Company’s incremental proved reserves additions for that period divided by the Company’s upstream gross production for the same period. The reserve replacement ratio measures the amount of reserves added to a company’s reserves base during a given period relative to the amount of oil and gas produced during that same period. A company’s reserve replacement ratio must be at least 100 percent for the company to maintain its reserves. The reserve replacement ratio only measures the amount of reserves added to a company’s reserves base during a given period.
All currency is expressed in Canadian dollars unless otherwise indicated.
CONTACT: For further information, please contact: Investor Inquiries: Rob Knowles Manager, Investor Relations Husky Energy Inc. 587-747-2116 Media Inquiries: Mel Duvall Manager, Media & Issues Husky Energy Inc. 403-513-7602