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U.S. natural gas end-of-season storage forecasts

March 5, 2018 12:01 PM
Reuters

U.S. natural gas storage is expected to end theNovember-March withdrawal season at a below-normal 1.405 trillion cubic feet(tcf), according to analysts.

That would be the lowest since the end of March in 2014 when stocks fellto 0.857 tcf and compares with an average of 1.720 tcf over the past fiveyears (2013-17) and 2.063 tcf at the end of the withdrawal season in 2017.

The 385 active storage fields in the lower 48 states had a workingcapacity of 4.373 tcf in November 2016, according to federal data.

The following lists analysts' storage estimates in trillion cubic feetwith the most recent estimates on top:

Company March 31, March 31, Oct. 31, Oct. 31, Date

2018 2018 2018 2018

tcf tcf tcf tcf

Current Previous Current Previous GMP FirstEnergy 1.465 1.465 3.850 3.813 Mar 5 Societe Generale 1.518 1.500 3.750 Feb 27 Stephen Smith Energy 1.499 1.456 3.645 3.635 Feb 12 Energy Aspects 1.350 1.380 Feb 8 U.S. EIA 1.429 1.623 3.770 3.861 Feb 6 Barclays 1.350 3.900 Feb 6 BofA Merrill Lynch 1.300 3.500 Feb 2 Simmons & Co 1.300 1.700 3.600 4.000 Feb 1 Credit Suisse 1.250 Jan 30 Guernsey 1.400 1.500 3.400 Jan 21 Raymond James 1.321 ~1.400 Jan 19 Citigroup 1.223 3.224 Jan 10 Schneider 1.450 3.800 Jan 10 Wells Fargo 1.461 Jan 10 Thomson Reuters Analytics 1.260 0.990 Dec 12 UBS 1.500 Nov 23 Cowen 1.600 1.400 3.300 3.000 Oct 18 Morgan Stanley 1.519 Aug 1 ION Energy 1.500 May 19

(Reporting by Scott DiSavino)
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