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J.P. Morgan expects demand trends to favor US natgas over oil

December 5, 2024 9:04 AM
Reuters


** J.P. Morgan expects natural gas producers to benefit from three distinct demand trends; build-out of LNG export capacity, rising power demand from electrification and coal-to-gas switching

** Says expectations of record U.S. oil supply, OPEC+ barrels return in 2025, Non-OPEC 2025 supply growth and potential policy de-regulations due to Republicans gaining control of the presidency and both chambers of Congress, has softened near-term enthusiasm for the oil macro outlook

** Brokerage will “continue to favor natgas levered producers given the supply response to low gas prices, the imminent start-up of meaningful LNG feedgas flows, and a number of positive data center/AI data points”

** Upgrades ConocoPhillips to “overweight”; downgrades Devon Energy, SM Energy to “neutral” from “overweight” and CNX Resources to “underweight” from “neutral”

Brokerage changes PT on the following firms:

Company New PT Old PT Upside/Downside to Stock’s Last Close
Civitas Resources $68 $66 40%
CNX Resources $37 $31 3% downside
ConocoPhillips $123 $120 19%
Coterra Energy Inc $31 $29 21%
Crescent Energy $16 $14 10%
EOG Resources $141 $132 9%
EQT Corp $50 $44 12%
SM Energy $53 $51 26%

 

(Reporting by Pooja Menon in Bengaluru)

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