Calgary, Alberta–(Newsfile Corp. – March 5, 2026) – Canadian Natural’s (TSX: CNQ) (NYSE: CNQ) President, Scott Stauth, commented on the Company’s fourth quarter and year end 2025 results, “The year 2025 was the best operational year in the Company’s long history of maximizing value for our shareholders. We set several production records, lowered our operating costs and capital expenditures came in under our forecast. We grew organically and completed several accretive acquisitions, including the Palliser Block assets in southern Alberta and liquids-rich Montney assets in the Grande Prairie area, along with increasing our ownership in the Albian mines to 100% through an asset swap. As a result, we achieved record annual production of 1,571 MBOE/d in 2025, resulting in year-over-year growth of 15% or approximately 207 MBOE/d from 2024 levels. We also achieved record annual liquids production of 1,146 Mbbl/d, of which 65% was comprised of Synthetic Crude Oil (“SCO”), light crude oil and NGLs, which are not subject to widening heavy crude oil differentials.
Strong execution across our large, diverse asset base continues to provide significant opportunities to create shareholder value in 2026 and beyond. This is evident by our increased production, strong free cash flow and growth in reserves achieved in 2025, through organic growth and accretive acquisitions. These successes provided the Board of Directors with the confidence to approve a dividend increase and an enhancement to our direct shareholder returns, by adjusting our net debt targets as a part of our free cash flow allocation policy. Additionally, we are decreasing our 2026 operating capital forecast by approximately $310 million, following the completion of a strategic acquisition early in 2026, and increasing our 2026 production guidance range to 1,615 MBOE/d and 1,665 MBOE/d from the previous guidance range of 1,590 MBOE/d and 1,650 MBOE/d.
Canadian Natural’s reserves are significant when compared to other major oil companies, which support long-term organic growth opportunities. Year end 2025 total proved reserves of 15.91 billion BOE and total proved plus probable reserves of 20.75 billion BOE represent increases of approximately 4% and 3%, respectively, from year end 2024 levels. With approximately 73% of the Company’s total proved reserves being long life low decline, the strength and depth of our assets is evident and provide us with a total proved reserves life index (“RLI”) of 31 years and a total proved plus probable RLI of 40 years. We continue to deliver strong total proved Finding, Development and Acquisition (“FD&A”) costs, including changes in Future Development Cost (“FDC”), achieving an industry leading FD&A in 2025 of $3.64/BOE for total proved reserves and $2.42/BOE for total proved plus probable reserves.”
Canadian Natural’s Chief Financial Officer, Victor Darel, added “In 2025, we generated adjusted net earnings of $7.4 billion or $3.56 per share, and adjusted funds flow of $15.5 billion or $7.39 per share. Throughout the year, we completed several accretive acquisitions, increasing production and cash flow, while reducing net debt by approximately $2.7 billion to just under $16 billion at year end 2025. We returned approximately $9.0 billion to our shareholders in 2025, including $4.9 billion in dividends, $1.4 billion in share repurchases and $2.7 billion in net debt reduction. Subsequent to year end, the Board approved an approximate 6.4% increase to our quarterly dividend, bringing the annualized dividend up to $2.50 per common share. This marks 2026 as the 26th consecutive year of dividend increases by Canadian Natural, with a compound annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 20% over that time, demonstrating the sustainability of our business model, our strong balance sheet and the strength of our diverse, long life low decline reserves and asset base.
Additionally, the Board of Directors have, effective January 1, 2026, adjusted the net debt target levels in our free cash flow allocation policy which results in an acceleration of the next increase to direct shareholder returns. Now, when net debt falls below $16 billion, compared to our previous target of $15 billion, we will increase direct shareholder returns in the form of share repurchases to 75% of free cash flow generated, managed on a forward-looking basis.
Our financial flexibility and long life low decline asset base provide a strong foundation and a competitive advantage with low maintenance capital requirements. Our US$ WTI breakeven remains top tier in the low to mid-$40 per barrel range. Our balance sheet is strong with significant liquidity of approximately $6.3 billion at year end 2025. Our excellent results highlight the cash flow generating capability of our top tier asset base with strong year end metrics including Debt to Book Capitalization at 26% and Debt to Adjusted EBITDA at 0.7x.”
2025 ANNUAL HIGHLIGHTS
2025 FOURTH QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS
(1) Operating costs are calculated as production expense divided by respective sales volumes. Natural gas and NGLs production volumes approximate sales volumes.
ACCELERATING SHAREHOLDER RETURNS WITH REVISED FREE CASH FLOW ALLOCATION POLICY
As a result of the Company’s continued strong execution and resilience to volatile commodity prices, combined with continued growth of production, cash flow and reserves through strategic acquisitions and organic development, Canadian Natural is increasing its annual dividend and enhancing direct shareholder returns by updating its net debt targets within the Company’s free cash flow allocation policy. The policy was last adjusted in October 2024, when on a proforma basis, including the acquired Chevron assets, annual production was approximately 1,465,000 BOE/d. Since then, through organic growth and strategic acquisitions, annual production has grown by approximately 12% or 175,000 BOE/d, to the mid-point of updated 2026 guidance.
UPDATED 2026 GUIDANCE
| Capital Expenditures(1) ($ millions) | 2026 Budget |
2026 Updated Forecast |
Change | ||||||
| Conventional E&P | $ | 3,320 | $ | 3,160 | $ | (160 | ) | ||
| Thermal and Oil Sands Mining & Upgrading | $ | 2,980 | $ | 2,830 | $ | (150 | ) | ||
| Total Operating Capital Expenditures | $ | 6,300 | $ | 5,990 | $ | (310 | ) | ||
| Carbon Capture | $ | 125 | $ | 125 | $ | – | |||
| Net acquisitions | $ | – | $ | 765 | $ | 765 | |||
| Total Capital Expenditures | $ | 6,425 | $ | 6,880 | $ | 455 | |||
| (1) Forward-looking Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the ‘Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ section of the Company’s MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025 dated March 4, 2026 (“MD&A”). | |||||||||
| Note: 2026 capital expenditures excludes approximately $993 million of abandonment expenditures, before recoveries, related to the execution of the Company’s abandonment and reclamation programs in North America and the North Sea. | |||||||||
| Production Guidance(1) (before royalties) | 2026 Budget |
2026 Updated Forecast |
||||
| Natural Gas (MMcf/d) | 2,477 – 2,577 | 2,560 – 2,615 | ||||
| Conventional E&P Crude Oil & NGLs (Mbbl/d) | 325 – 337 | 336 – 346 | ||||
| Thermal and Oil Sands Mining & Upgrading (Mbbl/d) | 852 – 883 | 852 – 883 | ||||
| Total Liquids (Mbbl/d) | 1,177 – 1,220 | 1,188 – 1,229 | ||||
| Total MBOE/d | 1,590 – 1,650 | 1,615 – 1,665 | ||||
| (1) Reflects planned downtime for turnaround activities in all areas. | ||||||
| Note: Rounded to the nearest 1,000 bbl/d. | ||||||
| HIGHLIGHTS | Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||
| ($ millions, except per common share amounts) | Dec 31 2025 |
Sep 30 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
Dec 31 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
|||||||||||
| Net earnings | $ | 5,303 | $ | 600 | $ | 1,138 | $ | 10,820 | $ | 6,106 | ||||||
| Per common share | – basic | $ | 2.55 | $ | 0.29 | $ | 0.54 | $ | 5.17 | $ | 2.87 | |||||
| – diluted | $ | 2.54 | $ | 0.29 | $ | 0.54 | $ | 5.16 | $ | 2.85 | ||||||
| Adjusted net earnings from operations (1) | $ | 1,711 | $ | 1,801 | $ | 1,977 | $ | 7,444 | $ | 7,414 | ||||||
| Per common share | – basic (2) | $ | 0.82 | $ | 0.86 | $ | 0.94 | $ | 3.56 | $ | 3.49 | |||||
| – diluted (2) | $ | 0.82 | $ | 0.86 | $ | 0.93 | $ | 3.55 | $ | 3.46 | ||||||
| Cash flows from operating activities | $ | 3,768 | $ | 3,940 | $ | 3,432 | $ | 15,106 | $ | 13,386 | ||||||
| Adjusted funds flow (1) | $ | 3,748 | $ | 3,920 | $ | 4,186 | $ | 15,460 | $ | 14,859 | ||||||
| Per common share | – basic (2) | $ | 1.80 | $ | 1.88 | $ | 1.99 | $ | 7.39 | $ | 6.99 | |||||
| – diluted (2) | $ | 1.79 | $ | 1.87 | $ | 1.97 | $ | 7.37 | $ | 6.94 | ||||||
| Cash flows used in investing activities | $ | 1,200 | $ | 2,234 | $ | 10,414 | $ | 6,687 | $ | 14,095 | ||||||
| Net capital expenditures (1) | $ | 1,237 | $ | 2,124 | $ | 10,348 | $ | 6,579 | $ | 14,431 | ||||||
| Net capital expenditures (1), excluding net acquisitions (3) | $ | 1,413 | $ | 1,318 | $ | 1,290 | $ | 5,707 | $ | 5,286 | ||||||
| Abandonment expenditures | $ | 201 | $ | 189 | $ | 151 | $ | 771 | $ | 646 | ||||||
| Daily production, before royalties | ||||||||||||||||
| Natural gas (MMcf/d) | 2,660 | 2,668 | 2,283 | 2,547 | 2,147 | |||||||||||
| Crude oil and NGLs (bbl/d) | 1,215,364 | 1,175,604 | 1,090,002 | 1,146,175 | 1,005,603 | |||||||||||
| Equivalent production (BOE/d) (4) | 1,658,681 | 1,620,261 | 1,470,428 | 1,570,757 | 1,363,496 | |||||||||||
| (1) Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the ‘Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ section of the Company’s MD&A. | ||||||||||||||||
| (2) Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the ‘Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ section of the Company’s MD&A. | ||||||||||||||||
| (3) Includes the impact of cash paid and received related to acquisitions and dispositions. The Company received net cash consideration of $212 million related to the AOSP asset swap in Q4/25. Refer to the ‘Net Capital Expenditures’ table in the Company’s MD&A. | ||||||||||||||||
| (4) A barrel of oil equivalent (“BOE”) is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) of natural gas to one barrel (“bbl”) of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, or to compare the value ratio using current crude oil and natural gas prices since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. | ||||||||||||||||
RESERVES HIGHLIGHTS
A key differentiator for Canadian Natural is the strength, diversity and balance of its world class, top tier assets. The Company’s total proved reserve life index (“RLI”)(1) of 31 years is supported by long life low decline assets that have been strategically assembled and developed over several decades. The low maintenance capital requirements relative to the size and quality of the reserves affords the Company significant flexibility when balancing its four pillars of capital allocation to maximize shareholder value.
The Company’s reserves were evaluated and reviewed by Independent Qualified Reserves Evaluators (“IQREs”). The following highlights are based on the Company’s reserves using forecast prices and costs at December 31, 2025 (all reserves values are Company Gross unless stated otherwise).
(1) Supplementary financial measure. Refer to the ‘2025 Year End Reserves’ section of this document.
OPERATIONS REVIEW
North America Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading
| Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||
| Dec 31 2025 |
Sep 30 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
Dec 31 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
|||||||||||
| Synthetic crude oil production (bbl/d) (1)(2) | 619,901 | 581,136 | 534,631 | 565,102 | 472,245 | ||||||||||
| (1) SCO production before royalties and excludes production volumes consumed internally as diesel. | |||||||||||||||
| (2) Consists of heavy and light synthetic crude oil products. | |||||||||||||||
North America Exploration and Production
| Thermal In Situ Oil Sands | |||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||
| Dec 31 2025 |
Sep 30 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
Dec 31 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
|||||||||||
| Bitumen production (bbl/d) | 266,308 | 274,752 | 276,231 | 275,086 | 271,011 | ||||||||||
| Net bitumen wells drilled | 25 | 11 | 16 | 78 | 94 | ||||||||||
| Net successful bitumen wells drilled | 24 | 11 | 16 | 77 | 94 | ||||||||||
| Success rate | 96 % | 100 % | 100 % | 99 % | 100 % | ||||||||||
| Crude oil and NGLs – excluding Thermal In Situ Oil Sands | |||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||
| Dec 31 2025 |
Sep 30 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
Dec 31 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
|||||||||||
| Crude oil and NGLs production (bbl/d) | 319,189 | 309,873 | 255,729 | 294,315 | 238,277 | ||||||||||
| Net crude oil wells drilled | 90 | 78 | 84 | 282 | 214 | ||||||||||
| Net successful crude oil wells drilled | 90 | 78 | 84 | 281 | 213 | ||||||||||
| Success rate | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % | 99 % | 99 % | ||||||||||
| North America Natural Gas | |||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||
| Dec 31 2025 |
Sep 30 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
Dec 31 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
|||||||||||
| Natural gas production (MMcf/d) | 2,657 | 2,658 | 2,273 | 2,538 | 2,136 | ||||||||||
| Net natural gas wells drilled | 20 | 17 | 14 | 78 | 79 | ||||||||||
| Net successful natural gas wells drilled | 20 | 17 | 14 | 78 | 78 | ||||||||||
| Success rate | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % | 99 % | ||||||||||
International Exploration and Production
| Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||
| Dec 31 2025 |
Sep 30 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
Dec 31 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
|||||||||||
| Crude oil production (bbl/d) | 9,966 | 9,843 | 23,411 | 11,672 | 24,070 | ||||||||||
| Natural gas production (MMcf/d) | 3 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | ||||||||||
| Drilling Activity | Year Ended | |||||||||||
| December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | |||||||||||
| (number of wells) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | ||||||||
| Crude oil (1) | 368 | 358 | 313 | 307 | ||||||||
| Natural gas | 99 | 78 | 94 | 78 | ||||||||
| Dry | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||
| Subtotal | 469 | 438 | 409 | 387 | ||||||||
| Stratigraphic test / service wells | 522 | 499 | 474 | 407 | ||||||||
| Total | 991 | 937 | 883 | 794 | ||||||||
| Success rate (excluding stratigraphic test / service wells) | 99 % | 99 % | ||||||||||
| (1) Includes bitumen wells. | ||||||||||||
MARKETING
| Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||
| Dec 31 2025 |
Sep 30 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
Dec 31 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
|||||||||||
| Benchmark Commodity Prices | |||||||||||||||
| WTI benchmark price (US$/bbl) (1) | $ | 59.13 | $ | 64.95 | $ | 70.27 | $ | 64.77 | $ | 75.72 | |||||
| WCS heavy differential (discount) to WTI (US$/bbl) (1) | $ | (11.20 | ) | $ | (10.36 | ) | $ | (12.55 | ) | $ | (11.10 | ) | $ | (14.73 | ) |
| WCS heavy differential as a percentage of WTI (%) (1) | 19 % | 16 % | 18 % | 17 % | 19 % | ||||||||||
| Condensate benchmark price (US$/bbl) | $ | 57.01 | $ | 63.12 | $ | 70.66 | $ | 63.32 | $ | 72.94 | |||||
| SCO price (US$/bbl) (1) | $ | 57.78 | $ | 66.26 | $ | 71.13 | $ | 64.42 | $ | 75.09 | |||||
| SCO premium (discount) to WTI (US$/bbl) (1) | $ | (1.35 | ) | $ | 1.31 | $ | 0.86 | $ | (0.35 | ) | $ | (0.63 | ) | ||
| AECO benchmark price (C$/GJ) | $ | 2.22 | $ | 0.94 | $ | 1.38 | $ | 1.76 | $ | 1.36 | |||||
| Realized Prices | |||||||||||||||
| Exploration & Production liquids realized price (C$/bbl) (2)(3)(4)(5) |
$ | 64.42 | $ | 72.57 | $ | 75.22 | $ | 71.54 | $ | 77.76 | |||||
| SCO realized price (C$/bbl) (1)(3)(4)(5) | $ | 75.90 | $ | 87.85 | $ | 95.08 | $ | 86.41 | $ | 98.03 | |||||
| Natural gas realized price (C$/Mcf) (4) | $ | 2.89 | $ | 1.49 | $ | 2.02 | $ | 2.51 | $ | 1.86 | |||||
| (1) West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”); Western Canadian Select (“WCS”); Synthetic Crude Oil (“SCO”). | |||||||||||||||
| (2) Exploration & Production crude oil and NGLs average realized price excludes SCO. | |||||||||||||||
| (3) Pricing is net of blending and feedstock costs. | |||||||||||||||
| (4) Excludes risk management activities. | |||||||||||||||
| (5) Non-GAAP ratio. Refer to the ‘Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ section of the Company’s MD&A. | |||||||||||||||
2025 YEAR END RESERVES
Determination of Reserves
For the year ended December 31, 2025, the Company retained IQREs, Sproule International Limited and GLJ Ltd., to evaluate and review all of the Company’s proved and proved plus probable reserves. The evaluation and review was conducted and prepared in accordance with the standards contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook. The reserves disclosure is presented in accordance with NI 51-101 requirements using forecast prices and escalated costs.
The Reserves Committee of the Company’s Board of Directors has met with and carried out independent due diligence procedures with the IQREs as to the Company’s reserves.
Additional reserves information is disclosed in the Company’s Annual Information Form.
Summary of Company Gross Reserves
As of December 31, 2025
Forecast Prices and Costs
| Light and Medium Crude Oil (MMbbl) |
Primary Heavy Crude Oil (MMbbl) |
Pelican Lake Heavy Crude Oil (MMbbl) |
Thermal Bitumen (MMbbl) |
Mining Bitumen (MMbbl) |
Synthetic Crude Oil (MMbbl) |
Natural Gas (Bcf) |
Natural Gas Liquids (MMbbl) |
Barrels of Oil Equivalent (MMBOE) |
|
| Total Company | |||||||||
| Proved | |||||||||
| Developed Producing | 121 | 130 | 188 | 684 | 835 | 7,043 | 5,861 | 229 | 10,207 |
| Developed Non-Producing | 28 | 6 | – | 42 | – | – | 272 | 13 | 135 |
| Undeveloped | 160 | 92 | 55 | 2,603 | 14 | 91 | 11,873 | 575 | 5,568 |
| Total Proved | 309 | 228 | 243 | 3,330 | 849 | 7,134 | 18,006 | 817 | 15,910 |
| Probable | 118 | 105 | 107 | 1,845 | 46 | 554 | 9,969 | 404 | 4,840 |
| Total Proved plus Probable | 427 | 333 | 349 | 5,175 | 895 | 7,688 | 27,974 | 1,221 | 20,750 |
Notes to Reserves:
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | |||
| Crude Oil and NGLs | |||||||
| WTI | US$/bbl | 59.92 | 65.10 | 70.28 | 71.93 | 73.37 | |
| WCS | C$/bbl | 65.13 | 70.43 | 76.90 | 78.71 | 80.29 | |
| Canadian Light Sweet | C$/bbl | 77.54 | 83.60 | 90.17 | 92.32 | 94.17 | |
| Cromer LSB | C$/bbl | 75.09 | 81.56 | 86.95 | 89.19 | 90.98 | |
| Edmonton C5+ | C$/bbl | 80.01 | 86.19 | 92.83 | 95.04 | 96.94 | |
| Brent | US$/bbl | 63.92 | 69.13 | 74.36 | 76.10 | 77.62 | |
| AECO | C$/MMBtu | 3.00 | 3.30 | 3.49 | 3.58 | 3.65 | |
| BC Westcoast Station 2 | C$/MMBtu | 2.66 | 3.07 | 3.25 | 3.34 | 3.41 | |
| Henry Hub | US$/MMBtu | 3.74 | 3.78 | 3.85 | 3.93 | 4.01 | |
| All prices increase at a rate of 2% per year after 2030. | |||||||
| A US$/C$ foreign exchange rate of 0.7277 was used for 2026, 0.7367 for 2027, and 0.7400 for 2028 and thereafter in the year end 2025 evaluation. | |||||||
ADVISORY
Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements relating to Canadian Natural Resources Limited (the “Company”) in this document or documents incorporated herein by reference constitute forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “plan”, “estimate”, “target”, “focus”, “continue”, “could”, “intend”, “may”, “potential”, “predict”, “should”, “will”, “objective”, “project”, “forecast”, “goal”, “guidance”, “outlook”, “effort”, “seeks”, “schedule”, “proposed”, “aspiration”, or expressions of a similar nature suggesting future outcome or statements regarding an outlook. Disclosure related to the Company’s strategy or strategic focus, capital budget, expected future commodity pricing, forecast or anticipated production volumes, royalties, production expenses, capital expenditures, forecast and anticipated abandonment expenditures, income tax expenses, and other targets provided throughout this Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) of the financial condition and results of operations of the Company, including the strength of the Company’s balance sheet, the sources and adequacy of the Company’s liquidity, and the flexibility of the Company’s capital structure, constitute forward-looking statements. Disclosure of plans relating to and expected results of existing and future developments, including, without limitation, those in relation to: the Company’s assets at Horizon Oil Sands (“Horizon”), the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (“AOSP”), the Primrose thermal oil projects (“Primrose”), the Pelican Lake water and polymer flood projects (“Pelican Lake”), the Kirby thermal oil sands project (“Kirby”), the Jackfish thermal oil sands project (“Jackfish”) and the North West Redwater bitumen upgrader and refinery; construction by third parties of new, or expansion of existing, pipeline capacity or other means of transportation of bitumen, crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids (“NGLs”), or synthetic crude oil (“SCO”) that the Company may be reliant upon to transport its products to market; the maintenance of the Company’s facilities and any expected return to service dates; the construction, expansion, or maintenance of third-party facilities that process the Company’s products; the abandonment and decommissioning of certain assets and the timing thereof; the development and deployment of technology and technological innovations; the financial capacity of the Company to complete its growth projects and responsibly and sustainably grow in the long-term; and the materiality of the impact of tax interpretations and litigation on the Company’s results, also constitute forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on annual budgets and multi-year forecasts and are reviewed and revised throughout the year as necessary in the context of targeted financial ratios, project returns, product pricing expectations, and balance in project risk and time horizons. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks. The reader should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements as there can be no assurances that the plans, initiatives, or expectations upon which they are based will occur. In addition, statements relating to “reserves” are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of proved and proved plus probable crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs reserves and in projecting future rates of production and the timing of development expenditures. The total amount or timing of actual future production may vary significantly from reserves and production estimates.
The forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, and projections about the Company and the industry in which the Company operates, which speak only as of the earlier of the date such statements were made or as of the date of the report or document in which they are contained, and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results, performance, or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, among others: general economic and business conditions (including as a result of the actions of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Plus (“OPEC+”), the impact of conflicts in the Middle East, Ukraine and Venezuela, the impact of changes to US economic policy, increased inflation, and the risk of decreased economic activity resulting from a global recession) which may impact, among other things, demand and supply for and market prices of the Company’s products, and the availability and cost of resources required by the Company’s operations; volatility of and assumptions regarding crude oil, natural gas and NGLs prices; the impact of the ramp-up of LNG Canada on commodity prices; fluctuations in currency and interest rates; assumptions on which the Company’s current targets are based; economic conditions in the countries and regions in which the Company conducts business; changes and uncertainties in the international trade environment, including with respect to tariffs, export restrictions, embargoes, and key trade agreements (including uncertainties around US imposed tariffs, and actual or potential Canadian countermeasures, both of which continue to evolve and may be continued, suspended, increased, decreased, or expanded); uncertainty in the regulatory framework governing greenhouse gas emissions including, among other things, financial and other support from various levels of government for climate related initiatives and potential emissions or production caps, and the implementation of the Memorandum of Understanding (“MOU”) entered into between the Government of Canada and the Government of Alberta in November 2025; civil unrest and political uncertainty, including changes in government, actions of or against terrorists, insurgent groups, or other conflict including conflict between states; the ability of the Company to prevent and recover from a cyberattack, other cyber-related crime, and other cyber-related incidents; industry capacity; ability of the Company to implement its business strategy, including exploration and development activities; the impact of competition; the Company’s defense of lawsuits; availability and cost of seismic, drilling, and other equipment; ability of the Company to complete capital programs; the Company’s ability to secure adequate transportation for its products; unexpected disruptions or delays in the mining, extracting, or upgrading of the Company’s bitumen products; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; ability of the Company to attract the necessary labour required to build, maintain, and operate its thermal and oil sands mining projects; operating hazards and other difficulties inherent in the exploration for and production and sale of crude oil and natural gas and in the mining, extracting, or upgrading the Company’s bitumen products; availability and cost of financing; the Company’s success of exploration and development activities and its ability to replace and expand crude oil and natural gas reserves; the Company’s ability to meet its targeted production levels; timing and success of integrating the business and operations of acquired companies and assets, including the acquisition of the remaining interest in the AOSP mines and other acquisitions that occurred in 2025; production levels; imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of crude oil, natural gas and NGLs not currently classified as proved; changes to future abandonment and decommissioning costs; actions by governmental authorities; government regulations and the expenditures required to comply with them (especially safety, competition, environmental laws and regulations, and the impact of climate change initiatives on capital expenditures and production expenses); interpretations of applicable tax and competition laws and regulations; asset retirement obligations; the sufficiency of the Company’s liquidity to support its growth strategy and to sustain its operations in the short-, medium-, and long-term; the strength of the Company’s balance sheet; the flexibility of the Company’s capital structure; the adequacy of the Company’s provision for taxes; the impact of legal proceedings to which the Company is party; and other circumstances affecting revenues and expenses.
The Company’s operations have been, and in the future may be, affected by political developments and by national, federal, provincial, state, and local laws and regulations such as restrictions on production, the imposition of tariffs, embargoes, or export restrictions on the Company’s products (including uncertainties around US imposed tariffs, and actual or potential Canadian countermeasures, both of which continue to evolve and may be continued, suspended, increased, decreased, or expanded), changes in taxes, royalties and other amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or gathering rate controls and environmental protection regulations (including the implementation of the MOU). Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in the forward-looking statements. The impact of any one factor on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty as such factors are dependent upon other factors, and the Company’s course of action would depend upon its assessment of the future considering all information then available.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Unpredictable or unknown factors not discussed in this document and the Company’s MD&A could also have adverse effects on forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are reasonable based on information available to it on the date such forward-looking statements are made, no assurances can be given as to future results, levels of activity, and achievements. All subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. Except as required by applicable law, the Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements in this document or the Company’s MD&A, whether as a result of new information, future events or other factors, or the foregoing factors affecting this information, should circumstances or the Company’s estimates or opinions change.
Special Note Regarding Common Share Split and Comparative Figures
At the Company’s Annual and Special Meeting held on May 2, 2024, shareholders passed a Special Resolution approving a two for one common share split effective for shareholders of record as of market close on June 3, 2024. On June 10, 2024, shareholders of record received one additional share for every one common share held, with common shares trading on a split-adjusted basis beginning June 11, 2024. Common share, per common share, dividend, and stock option amounts for periods prior to the two for one common share split have been updated to reflect the common share split.
Special Note Regarding Amendments to the Competition Act (Canada)
On June 20, 2024, amendments to the Competition Act (Canada) came into force with the adoption of Bill C-59, An Act to Implement Certain Provisions of the Fall Economic Statement, which impact environmental and climate disclosures by businesses. As a result of these amendments, certain public representations by a business regarding the benefits of the work it is doing to protect or restore the environment or mitigate the environmental and ecological causes or effects of climate change may violate the Competition Act’s deceptive marketing practices provisions. Subsequently, on November 4, 2025, the federal government tabled the 2025 Budget, which proposed further amendments to the Competition Act, namely removing the requirement that businesses substantiate their environmental representations about a business or business activity based on an internationally recognized methodology, and eliminating private rights of action under the revised business-activity greenwashing provision. Uncertainty surrounding the interpretation and enforcement of this legislation, which includes the status of any proposed or future amendments, may expose the Company to increased litigation and financial penalties, the outcome and impacts of which can be difficult to assess or quantify and may have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, reputation, financial condition, and results.
Special Note Regarding Currency, Financial Information and Production
This document should be read in conjunction with the Company’s MD&A and unaudited interim consolidated financial statements (the “financial statements”) for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025, and the Company’s MD&A and audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2024. All dollar amounts are referenced in millions of Canadian dollars, except where noted otherwise. The Company’s MD&A and financial statements for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025 have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (the “IFRS Accounting Standards”).
Production volumes and per unit statistics are presented throughout this document and the Company’s MD&A on a “before royalties” or “company gross” basis, and realized prices are net of blending and feedstock costs and exclude the effect of risk management activities. In addition, reference is made to crude oil and natural gas in common units called barrel of oil equivalent (“BOE”). A BOE is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) of natural gas to one barrel (“bbl”) of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In comparing the value ratio using current crude oil prices relative to natural gas prices, the 6 Mcf:1 bbl conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value. In addition, for the purposes of this document and the Company’s MD&A, crude oil is defined to include the following commodities: light and medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, thermal bitumen, and SCO (including mining bitumen). Production on an “after royalties” or “company net” basis is also presented for information purposes only.
Additional information relating to the Company, including its Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2024, is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca, and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov. Information in such Annual Information Form and on the Company’s website does not form part of and is not incorporated by reference in the Company’s MD&A, dated March 4, 2026.
ADVISORY
Special Note Regarding Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
This document includes references to Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures as defined in National Instrument 52-112 – Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures Disclosure (“NI 52-112”). These financial measures are used by the Company to evaluate its financial performance, financial position, and cash flow and include non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios, total of segments measures, capital management measures, and supplementary financial measures. These financial measures are not defined by IFRS and therefore are referred to as non-GAAP and other financial measures. The non-GAAP and other financial measures used by the Company may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies and should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, the most directly comparable financial measure presented in the financial statements, as applicable, as an indication of the Company’s performance. Descriptions of the Company’s non-GAAP and other financial measures included in this document and the Company’s MD&A and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, as applicable, are provided below as well as in the ‘Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ section of the Company’s MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025 dated March 4, 2026.
Free Cash Flow Allocation Policy
Free cash flow is a non-GAAP financial measure. The Company considers free cash flow a key measure in demonstrating the Company’s ability to generate cash flow to fund future growth through capital investment, pay returns to shareholders and to repay or maintain net debt levels, pursuant to the free cash flow allocation policy.
The Company’s free cash flow is used to determine the targeted amount of shareholder returns after dividends. The amount allocated to shareholders varies depending on the Company’s net debt position.
Free cash flow is calculated as adjusted funds flow less dividends on common shares, net capital expenditures and abandonment expenditures. The Company targets to manage the allocation of free cash flow on a forward-looking annual basis, while managing working capital and cash requirements as needed.
Up to October 2024, before the announcement of the Chevron acquisition, the Company was targeting to allocate 100% of its free cash flow in 2024 to shareholder returns.
In October 2024, with the announcement of the Chevron acquisition, the Board of Directors adjusted the allocation of free cash flow as follows:
The Company’s free cash flow for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025 and comparable periods is shown below:
| Year Ended | ||||||
| ($ millions) | Dec 31 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
||||
| Adjusted funds flow (1) | $ | 15,460 | $ | 14,859 | ||
| Less: Dividends on common shares | 4,871 | 4,429 | ||||
| Net capital expenditures(2) | 6,579 | 5,286 | ||||
| Abandonment expenditures | 771 | 646 | ||||
| Free cash flow | $ | 3,239 | $ | 4,498 | ||
| (1) Refer to the descriptions and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, which are provided in the ‘Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ section of the Company’s MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025 dated March 4, 2026. | ||||||
| (2) Non-GAAP Financial Measure. In 2024, for the purpose of the free cash flow calculated above, net capital expenditures of $5,286 million excludes net acquisitions of $9,145 million. Refer to the ‘Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ section of the Company’s MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025 dated March 4, 2026. | ||||||
In March 2026, the Board of Directors adjusted the allocation of free cash flow, effective January 1, 2026, as follows:
Long-term Debt, net
Long-term debt, net (also referred to as net debt) is a capital management measure that is calculated as current and long-term debt less cash and cash equivalents.
| ($ millions) | Dec 31 2025 |
Sep 30 2025 |
Dec 31 2024 |
||||||
| Long-term debt | $ | 16,617 | $ | 17,268 | $ | 18,819 | |||
| Less: cash and cash equivalents | 673 | 113 | 131 | ||||||
| Long-term debt, net | $ | 15,944 | $ | 17,155 | $ | 18,688 |
Breakeven WTI Price
The breakeven WTI price is a supplementary financial measure that represents the equivalent US dollar WTI price per barrel where the Company’s adjusted funds flow is equal to the sum of maintenance capital and dividends. The Company considers the breakeven WTI price a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the efficiency and profitability of the Company’s activities. The breakeven WTI price incorporates the non-GAAP financial measure adjusted funds flow as reconciled in the ‘Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ section of the Company’s MD&A. Maintenance capital is a supplementary financial measure that represents the capital required to maintain annual production at prior period levels.
Capital Budget
Capital budget is a forward-looking non-GAAP financial measure and is based on net capital expenditures (non-GAAP financial measure). Annual budgets are developed and scrutinized throughout the year and can be changed, if necessary, in the context of price volatility, project returns, and the balancing of project risks and time horizons. Refer to the ‘Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ section of the Company’s MD&A for more details on net capital expenditures.
Capital expenditures reflect forecasted net capital expenditures, before abandonment expenditures related to the execution of the Company’s abandonment and reclamation programs in North America and the North Sea. The Company currently carries an Asset Retirement Obligation (“ARO”) liability on its balance sheet for these forecasted future expenditures. Abandonment expenditures are reported before the impact of current income tax recoveries in Canada and the UK portion of the North Sea. The Company is eligible to recover interest on related to tax recoveries in the North Sea.
Capital Efficiency
Capital efficiency is a supplementary financial measure that represents the capital spent to add new or incremental production divided by the current rate of the new or incremental production. It is expressed as a dollar amount per flowing volume of a product ($/bbl/d or $/BOE/d). The Company considers capital efficiency a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the efficiency of the Company’s capital investments.
CONFERENCE CALL
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (TSX: CNQ) (NYSE: CNQ) will be issuing its 2025 Fourth Quarter Earnings Results on Thursday, March 5, 2026 before market open.
A conference call will be held at 9:00 a.m. MT / 11:00 a.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2026.
Dial-in to the live event:
North America 1-800-717-1738 / International 001-289-514-5100.
Listen to the audio webcast:
Access the audio webcast on the home page of our website, www.cnrl.com.
Conference call playback:
North America 1-888-660-6264 / International 001-289-819-1325 (Passcode: 84285#)
Canadian Natural is a senior crude oil and natural gas production company, with continuing operations in its core areas located in Western Canada, the U.K. portion of the North Sea and Offshore Africa.
| CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED T (403) 517-6700 F (403) 517-7350 E ir@cnrl.com 2100, 855 – 2 Street S.W. Calgary, Alberta, T2P 4J8 www.cnrl.com |
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| SCOTT G. STAUTH President VICTOR C. DAREL LANCE J. CASSON Trading Symbol – CNQ |
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