CALGARY, Feb. 6, 2020 /CNW/ – OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD. (TSX – OBE, NYSE – OBE.BC) (“Obsidian Energy“, the “Company“, “we“, “us” or “our“) is pleased to release its year-end 2019 independent reserves evaluation.
Stephen Loukas, Interim President and CEO commented, “We are pleased to announce our 2019 reserve results which demonstrates the strength of our dedicated Cardium development strategy, allowing for our reserve auditors to recognize the performance and improved cost efficiency of the program. In addition, the Company received initial recognition of the improvements of existing wells resulting from optimization techniques, thereby resulting in an increase in recoverable reserves.”
2019 Year-End Reserves Summary
The Company is pleased to present the results of its year-end 2019 independent reserves evaluation, prepared by Sproule Associates Limited (“Sproule“).
2019 marks the Company’s third year in a row achieving greater than 100 percent reserve replacement on total proved reserves (“1P“) and proved plus probable reserves (“2P“). This increase includes recognition of the performance of our Cardium drilling program contributing to the overall 1P and 2P replacement ratio of approximately 140 and 139 percent, respectively. The Company also continues to see benefits from its optimization and decline mitigation projects with an average projected three year proved developed producing (“PDP“) decline of approximately 17 percent. We are excited about the future development opportunities, particularly in our Cardium assets, which will allow us to create long term value for our shareholders.
Reserve Highlights:
- Replaced 95 percent on a PDP basis, 140 percent on a 1P basis and 139 percent on a 2P basis of 2019 production, prior to asset divestitures.
- Reserve replacement was driven by strong underlying asset base performance in addition to the 2019 drilling program in the Cardium Crimson Lake area in Willesden Green. 1P replacement in the Cardium is approximately 177 percent and 2P replacement is approximately 187 percent.
- Obsidian Energy’s reserve life index (“RLI“) is approximately 8, 11 and 14 years on a PDP,1P and 2P basis, respectively.
- Obsidian Energy has increased our PDP liquids weighting by two percent, to 69 percent total liquids.
- Our total undeveloped reserve locations remain conservatively booked and highly achievable, with 180 total net locations booked, including 135 net locations in the Cardium.
- 2P costs for our operated development activity in 2019 were $16.94 per boe. 2P finding and development (“F&D“) costs excluding changes in future development capital, were $7.42 per boe, F&D costs including changes in future development capital were $4.29 per boe.
- Despite $198 million of negative pricing impacts and an incremental $37 million in asset retirement obligations (“ARO“) to reflect the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGEH“) 2019 updates, before-tax net present value discounted at 10 percent (“NPV10“) for 2P decreased by only six percent to $1.6 billion at year-end 2019, based on Sproule’s commodity price forecast at December 31, 2019. Lower capital and operating costs helped to mitigate the pricing and ARO impacts.
2019 Year-End Reserves Tables
In 2019, we engaged Sproule, an independent, qualified engineering firm, to evaluate 100 percent of our PDP, 1P and 2P reserves. Sproule conducted an independent reserves evaluation of Obsidian Energy’s reserves effective December 31, 2019. This evaluation was prepared in accordance with definitions, standards, and procedures set out in COGEH and National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101“). The Sproule reserves evaluation was based on Sproule’s December 31, 2019 forecast prices and costs. Reserves included below are Company gross reserves which are the Company’s total working interest reserves before the deduction of any royalties and excluding any royalty interests payable to the Company. The numbers in the tables below may not add due to rounding.
Summary of Reserves
As at December 31, 2019 |
|||||
Reserve |
Light & |
Heavy |
Natural Gas |
Conventional |
Barrel of Oil |
Estimates Category |
(mmbbl) |
(mmbbl) |
(mmbbl) |
(bcf) |
(mmboe) |
Proved |
|||||
Developed producing |
34 |
5 |
6 |
124 |
65 |
Developed non-producing |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
Undeveloped |
17 |
1 |
2 |
47 |
28 |
Total Proved |
51 |
6 |
8 |
173 |
94 |
Total Probable |
16 |
3 |
3 |
63 |
32 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
67 |
9 |
11 |
236 |
126 |
Reserves Reconciliation – Proved
Light & |
Heavy |
Natural Gas |
Conventional |
Barrel of Oil |
|
Reconciliation Category |
(mmbbl) |
(mmbbl) |
(mmbbl) |
(bcf) |
(mmboe) |
Total Proved |
|||||
December 31, 2018 |
47 |
7 |
8 |
176 |
92 |
Extensions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
Infill Drilling |
5 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
8 |
Improved Recovery |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Technical Revisions |
4 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
7 |
Discoveries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Acquisitions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Dispositions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
-7 |
-2 |
Economic Factors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
-6 |
-2 |
Production |
-4 |
-1 |
-1 |
-19 |
-10 |
December 31, 2019 |
51 |
6 |
8 |
173 |
94 |
Reserves Reconciliation – Proved Plus Probable
Light & |
Heavy |
Natural Gas |
Conventional |
Barrel of Oil |
|
Reconciliation Category |
(mmbbl) |
(mmbbl) |
(mmbbl) |
(bcf) |
(mmboe) |
Total Proved Plus Probable |
|||||
December 31, 2018 |
64 |
11 |
11 |
233 |
125 |
Extensions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
Infill Drilling |
6 |
0 |
1 |
21 |
11 |
Improved Recovery |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Technical Revisions |
1 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
4 |
Discoveries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Acquisitions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Dispositions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
-9 |
-2 |
Economic Factors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
-7 |
-2 |
Production |
-4 |
-1 |
-1 |
-19 |
-10 |
December 31, 2019 |
67 |
9 |
11 |
236 |
126 |
Summary of Before Tax Net Present Values
As at December 31, 2019 |
|||||
Net Present Value |
Discount Rate |
||||
$ millions |
Undiscounted |
5 Percent |
10 Percent |
15 Percent |
20 Percent |
Proved |
|||||
Developed producing |
523 |
1,217 |
1,010 |
843 |
725 |
Developed non-producing |
35 |
22 |
16 |
13 |
11 |
Undeveloped |
675 |
365 |
210 |
124 |
72 |
Total Proved |
1,232 |
1,605 |
1,236 |
979 |
808 |
Total Probable |
1,209 |
589 |
366 |
259 |
197 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
2,441 |
2,193 |
1,602 |
1,238 |
1,004 |
(1) |
The December 31, 2019 reserve net present values include all Obsidian Energy existing well, facility, and pipeline asset retirement obligation estimates, which totals $61 million NPV10. The December 31, 2018 net present value incorporated only existing well abandonment and reclamation costs associated with reserve wells, totaling $24 million NPV10. |
Future Development Capital
As at December 31, 2019 |
||
Future Development Capital |
||
$ millions |
Total Proved |
Total Proved |
2020 |
83 |
86 |
2021 |
88 |
106 |
2022 |
101 |
120 |
2023 |
123 |
137 |
2024 |
104 |
115 |
2025 and subsequent |
||
Total, Undiscounted |
499 |
564 |
Total, Discounted @ 10% |
390 |
440 |
Summary of Pricing and Inflation Rate Assumptions
Canadian Light |
Natural Gas |
|||||||
WTI |
Sweet Crude |
WTI-C |
Exchange |
|||||
As at December 31, 2019 (1) |
Cushing, Oklahoma |
40° API |
Spot |
Rate |
||||
Sproule Forecast |
($US/bbl) |
($Cdn/bbl) |
($Cdn/MMbtu) |
($US/$Cdn) |
||||
Year |
2019 |
2018 |
2019 |
2018 |
2019 |
2018 |
2019 |
2018 |
Forecast |
||||||||
2020 |
61.00 |
67.00 |
73.84 |
77.89 |
2.04 |
2.44 |
0.76 |
0.80 |
2021 |
65.00 |
70.00 |
78.51 |
82.25 |
2.27 |
3.00 |
0.77 |
0.80 |
2022 |
67.00 |
71.40 |
78.73 |
84.79 |
2.81 |
3.21 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
2023 |
68.34 |
72.83 |
80.30 |
87.39 |
2.89 |
3.30 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
2024 |
69.71 |
74.28 |
81.91 |
89.14 |
2.98 |
3.39 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
2025 |
71.10 |
75.77 |
83.54 |
90.92 |
3.06 |
3.49 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
2026 |
72.52 |
77.29 |
85.21 |
92.74 |
3.15 |
3.58 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
2027 |
73.97 |
78.83 |
86.92 |
94.60 |
3.24 |
3.68 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
2028 |
75.45 |
80.41 |
88.66 |
96.49 |
3.33 |
3.78 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
2029 |
76.96 |
82.02 |
90.43 |
98.42 |
3.42 |
3.88 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
2030 |
78.50 |
92.24 |
3.51 |
0.80 |
||||
(1) Prices Escalate at two percent after 2030, with the exception of foreign exchange which stays flat. |