CALGARY, ALBERTA–(Marketwired – April 27, 2016) – Leucrotta Exploration Inc. (“Leucrotta” or the “Company”) (TSX VENTURE:LXE) is pleased to announce its 2015 year-end reserves as independently evaluated by GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. (“GLJ”) effective December 31, 2015, in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 (“NI 51-101”) and Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation (COGE) Handbook.
2015 Highlights
- Increased proved plus probable reserves by 9% to 17.1 million barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) (excluding dispositions of 9.8 million boe)
- Increased proved reserves by 11% to 8.2 million boe (excluding dispositions of 6.7 million boe)
- Reserve replacement of 386% on a proved plus probable basis and 267% on a proved basis
- Achieved finding and development costs including changes in FDC but excluding land and property acquisitions/dispositions on a proved plus probable basis of $6.48 per boe
- Recycle ratio of 1.0 times on a proved plus probable basis based on Q4 2015 average netback of $10.08 per boe
- Net asset value of $1.44 per share
Capital Expenditures
Leucrotta’s capital expenditures were focused predominantly in the greater Dawson area to expand its land base, improve and expand infrastructure, and start to delineate its large Montney land base. Capital allocation by category is as follows:
Category | ($000’s) | |||
Undeveloped land | 15,381 | |||
Facility equipment not in use and held for sale | 18,040 | |||
Property disposition | (79,342 | ) | ||
Sub-total acquisitions/dispositions | (45,921 | ) | ||
Drilling and Completion | 19,460 | |||
Facilities and related infrastructure | 5,643 | |||
Geological, geophysical and other | 713 | |||
Sub-total capital expenditures | 25,816 | |||
Total all-in capital | (20,105 | ) |
Drilling and completions capital of $19.5 million was spent in the delineation and development of its Montney projects. During 2015 Leucrotta drilled four net wells at Dawson, British Columbia, which resulted in two successful liquids-rich natural gas wells, one successful light oil well and one vertical test well awaiting results. Leucrotta will continue to spend a portion of its capital on drilling development wells and a portion of its capital on delineation of its large potential Montney resource.
Leucrotta invested $15.4 million, through both Crown land sales and private land acquisitions, to increase its Montney acreage that was adjacent to its East Doe 13-19 Montney delineation well that tested 1,290 boepd. Leucrotta’s overall Montney land position strengthened to 193 gross (177 net) sections of land in the Greater Dawson-Doe area as at December 31, 2015.
During the second quarter of 2015 Leucrotta sold a property located in Dawson, BC for a cash consideration of $79.3 million. The disposed assets were producing approximately 1,300 boepd and was not integral to Leucrotta’s overall development plan. Approximately half of the proceeds were used to fund the fall capital program and the purchase of the Montney acreage noted above. The remaining proceeds will be used for future capital operations.
Leucrotta also spent $18.0 million on newly fabricated gas plant equipment in 2015 that was committed to in 2014. Leucrotta had originally planned a significant expansion of its current sweet gas plant, but stopped the process when commodity prices and the business environment deteriorated. Although all components can be used for a future expansion, Leucrotta is open to selling all or a portion of such equipment and rebuilding as needed in the future.
Reserve Additions
Leucrotta continued to have positive results in its Montney delineation and development in the Dawson area of British Columbia.
The Lower Montney zone experienced positive technical revisions as wells outperformed previous reserve predictions. Well performance and new wells also had a material effect on proved reserves as 1.1 mmboes were either moved from the probable to the proved category or from un-booked directly to the lower-risk proved category.
Leucrotta has only booked reserves to a portion of 6 sections of its total 177 net sections of Montney land in the greater Dawson area. The bookings leave a material amount of land for potential future bookings and provides for a manageable amount of FDC booked ($69.0 million on a proved plus probable basis) relative to Leucrotta’s current financial capabilities.
Reserves Summary
Leucrotta’s December 31, 2015 reserves as prepared by GLJ and based on the GLJ (2016-01) future price forecast are as follows (1,4):
Working Interest Reserves (2) | Light/ Medium Oil (Mbbl) |
Tight Oil (Mbbl) | Conventional Natural Gas (Mbbl) |
Shale Natural Gas (Mmcf) |
NGLs (Mbbl) |
Total Oil Equivalent (Mboe) (3) | |||||||
Proved | |||||||||||||
Producing | 80 | 68 | 167 | 7,418 | 283 | 1,694 | |||||||
Developed non-producing | 0 | 75 | 0 | 6,230 | 183 | 1,296 | |||||||
Undeveloped | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26,128 | 830 | 5,185 | |||||||
Total proved | 80 | 143 | 167 | 39,776 | 1,296 | 8,176 | |||||||
Probable | 38 | 44 | 69 | 44,173 | 1,507 | 8,963 | |||||||
Total proved & probable | 118 | 187 | 235 | 83,950 | 2,803 | 17,139 |
Notes: | |
(1) | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
(2) | “Working Interest” reserves means Leucrotta’s working interest (operating and non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interest of Leucrotta. |
(3) | Oil equivalent amounts have been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil. |
(4) | See the Company’s Annual Information Form (“AIF”) available on SEDAR at http://www.sedar.com/ for the disclosure of Net reserves. “Net” reserves means Leucrotta’s working interest (operated and non-operated) share after deduction of royalties, plus Leucrotta’s royalty interest in reserves. |
Reserves Values
The estimated future net revenues before taxes associated with Leucrotta’s reserves effective December 31, 2015 and based on the GLJ (2016-01) future price forecast are summarized in the following table (1,2,3,4):
Discount factor per year | |||||||||||
($000s) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | ||||||
Proved | |||||||||||
Producing | 21,366 | 17,912 | 15,451 | 13,652 | 12,295 | ||||||
Developed Non-producing | 21,208 | 14,315 | 10,160 | 7,484 | 5,650 | ||||||
Undeveloped | 73,484 | 44,311 | 28,979 | 20,133 | 14,607 | ||||||
Total proved | 116,059 | 76,538 | 54,591 | 41,268 | 32,552 | ||||||
Probable | 184,525 | 95,758 | 57,992 | 38,916 | 27,938 | ||||||
Total proved & probable | 300,584 | 172,296 | 112,583 | 80,184 | 60,490 |
Notes: | |
(1) | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
(2) | The estimated future net revenues are stated prior to provision for interest, debt service charges or general administrative expenses and after deduction of royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment and reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures. |
(3) | The estimated future net revenue contained in the table does not necessarily represent the fair market value of the reserves. There is no assurance that the forecast price and cost assumptions contained in the GLJ Report will be attained and variations could be material. The recovery and reserve estimates described herein are estimates only. Actual reserves may be greater or less than those calculated. |
(4) | See the Company’s AIF available on SEDAR at http://www.sedar.com/ for the after-tax present values of future net revenue attributed to Leucrotta’s reserves. |
Price Forecast
The GLJ (2016-01) price forecast is as follows:
Year | WTI Oil @ Cushing ($US / Bbl) |
Edmonton Light Oil ($Cdn / Bbl) |
AECO Natural Gas ($Cdn / Mmbtu) |
Foreign Exchange (US$/Cdn$) | ||||
2016 | 44.00 | 55.86 | 2.76 | 0.725 | ||||
2017 | 52.00 | 64.00 | 3.27 | 0.750 | ||||
2018 | 58.00 | 68.39 | 3.45 | 0.775 | ||||
2019 | 64.00 | 73.75 | 3.63 | 0.800 | ||||
2020 | 70.00 | 78.79 | 3.81 | 0.825 | ||||
2021 | 75.00 | 82.35 | 3.90 | 0.850 | ||||
2022 | 80.00 | 88.24 | 4.10 | 0.850 | ||||
2023 | 85.00 | 94.12 | 4.30 | 0.850 | ||||
2024 | 87.88 | 96.48 | 4.50 | 0.850 | ||||
2025 | 89.63 | 98.41 | 4.60 | 0.850 | ||||
Escalate thereafter (1) | 2.0% per year | 2.0% per year | 2.0% per year |
Note: | |
(1) | Escalated at two per cent per year starting in 2025 in the January 1, 2016 GLJ price forecast with the exception of foreign exchange, which remains flat. |
Finding and Development Costs (“F&D”)
All-in F&D costs including FDC were $11.81 per boe on a proved basis and $10.13 on a proved plus probable basis. The three-year comparative which normalizes the period costs was $26.00 on a proved basis and $16.45 on a proved plus probable basis.
F&D costs were significantly affected by the large amount expended for land and gas plant equipment which was not in use and held for sale during 2014 and 2015 with no direct reserve additions during these periods for these expenditures. Certain infrastructure costs (see above) were also incurred during the period that affect all future projects as well as current projects. Long-term F&D will normalize both these cost areas but the 2014 and 2015 years were negatively affected.
F&D costs including FDC and excluding net property acquisitions/dispositions, undeveloped land acquisitions, and gas plant equipment which was not in use and held for sale were $14.29 per boe on a proved basis and $6.48 on a proved plus probable basis.
Leucrotta has presented F&D costs below both including and excluding property acquisitions/dispositions, undeveloped land acquisitions, and gas plant equipment which was not in use and held for sale.
2015 | 2014 | 3 Year Average | |||||||||||||||
($000’s, except where noted) | Proved | Proved & Probable |
Proved | Proved & Probable |
Proved | Proved & Probable |
|||||||||||
F&D costs (excluding net acquisitions / dispositions) | |||||||||||||||||
Exploration and development expenditures | 25,816 | 25,816 | 31,016 | 31,016 | 94,307 | 94,307 | |||||||||||
Change in FDC (1) | (7,251 | ) | (13,642 | ) | 28,652 | 51,659 | 37,105 | 43,350 | |||||||||
F&D costs excluding net acquisitions / dispositions (Including FDC) | 18,565 | 12,174 | 59,668 | 82,675 | 131,412 | 137,657 | |||||||||||
All-in F&D costs (including net acquisitions / dispositions) | |||||||||||||||||
Exploration and development expenditures | 25,816 | 25,816 | 31,016 | 31,016 | 94,307 | 94,307 | |||||||||||
Net acquisitions (dispositions) | (45,921 | ) | (45,921 | ) | 71,851 | 71,851 | 28,308 | 28,308 | |||||||||
All-in F&D costs including net acquisitions / dispositions | (20,105 | ) | (20,105 | ) | 102,867 | 102,867 | 122,615 | 122,615 | |||||||||
Change in FDC | (43,795 | ) | (60,077 | ) | 28,652 | 51,659 | 561 | (3,085 | ) | ||||||||
All-in F&D costs including net acquisitions / dispositions (Including FDC) | (63,900 | ) | (80,182 | ) | 131,519 | 154,526 | 123,176 | 119,530 | |||||||||
Reserve Additions (Mboe) (2) | |||||||||||||||||
Exploration and development | 1,299 | 1,880 | 5,491 | 11,783 | 10,818 | 16,257 | |||||||||||
Net acquisitions / dispositions | (6,708 | ) | (9,796 | ) | 627 | 804 | (6,081 | ) | (8,992 | ) | |||||||
Total Reserve Additions | (5,409 | ) | (7,916 | ) | 6,118 | 12,587 | 4,737 | 7,265 | |||||||||
F&D costs excluding net acquisitions / dispositions ($/boe) | |||||||||||||||||
Excluding FDC | 19.87 | 13.73 | 5.65 | 2.63 | 8.72 | 5.80 | |||||||||||
Including FDC | 14.29 | 6.48 | 10.87 | 7.02 | 12.15 | 8.47 | |||||||||||
All-in F&D costs ($/boe) | |||||||||||||||||
Excluding FDC | 3.72 | 2.54 | 16.81 | 8.17 | 25.88 | 16.88 | |||||||||||
Including FDC | 11.81 | 10.13 | 21.50 | 12.28 | 26.00 | 16.45 |
Notes: | |
(1) | Future development capital (“FDC”) expenditures required to recover reserves estimated by GLJ. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial period and the change during that period in estimated future development costs generally may not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve additions for that period. |
(2) | Sum of drilling extensions, technical revisions and economic factors in the reserves reconciliation included in the Company’s AIF available on SEDAR at http://www.sedar.com/. |
(3) | Leucrotta was incorporated on June 10, 2014. Leucrotta commenced active oil and natural gas operations on August 6, 2014 as a result of the closing of a plan of arrangement involving Leucrotta, Crocotta Energy Inc. (“Crocotta”), Long Run Exploration Ltd. and shareholders of Crocotta, whereby Crocotta transferred its oil and natural gas assets located in British Columbia (“BC Assets”) to Leucrotta. The exploration and development expenditures, acquisitions expenditures, and reserve additions presented above include those of Leucrotta from July 10, 2014 as well as prior periods up to August 6, 2014 from the transferred BC Assets on a carve-out basis as if they had operated as a stand-alone entity subject to Crocotta’s control. |
Net Asset Value (“NAV”)
Leucrotta’s NAV as at December 31, 2015 and based on the GLJ (2016-01) future price forecast is as follows:
($000s, except per share amounts) | Discounted @ 10% |
Pre-tax net present value of proved & probable reserves | 112,583 |
Undeveloped land (1) | 79,225 |
Working capital | 45,633 |
Net asset value | 237,441 |
Shares outstanding (basic) | 165,227 |
Net asset value per share | $1.44 |
Note: | |
(1) | Undeveloped land is included at cost of approximately $550 per acre |
Reserve Life Index
Leucrotta’s Reserve Life Index presented below is based on Q4 2015 average production of 1,076 boepd.
Reserve Category | Reserve Life Index |
Proved plus Probable Reserves | 43.6 |
Proved | 20.8 |
For Leucrotta’s full NI51-101 disclosure related to its 2015 year-end reserves please refer to the Company’s AIF available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.