HIGHLIGHTS
(all financial figures are unaudited and in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted)
- 2022 normalized EPS1 guidance of $1.80 – $1.95 represents approximately nine percent year-over-year growth using mid-point guidance figures.
- 2022 normalized EBITDA1 guidance of $1.50 billion – $1.55 billion represents approximately two percent year-over-year growth using mid-point guidance figures. Strong growth in AltaGas’ core Utilities and Midstream businesses are expected to offset lost contribution from the U.S. Transportation and Storage business, which was divested in the second quarter of 2021 and had an outsized contribution prior to its sale.
- AltaGas is maintaining a disciplined and self-funded capital program of $995 million in 2022, excluding Asset Retirement Obligations (ARO). The program is largely weighted towards lower-risk organic growth in the Utilities, while Midstream capital is focused on optimization and leveraging the Company’s currently available throughput capacity with potential increases in capital investments, depending on project advancements.
- AltaGas remains committed to further reducing its financial leverage and achieving Net Debt1 to normalized EBTIDA of below 5.0x with the potential to achieve this goal by 2022 year-end on the back of certain asset sales.
- AltaGas released its 2021 ESG Report, which includes a number of sustainability goals within the core areas of climate, diversity and inclusion, and safety, a meaningful step to mark its progression along the path of continuous improvement.
- AltaGas announced a six percent increase to its anticipated 2022 common share dividend on December 3, 2021. The Company’s forward plan will be to deliver regular, sustainable and annual dividend increases that compound in the years ahead. This includes an anticipated five to seven percent compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) in dividends through 2026 with the mid-point of the range expected to solely be underpinned by anticipated Utilities earnings growth.
- Within the Utilities segment the Company anticipates an eight to ten percent rate base CAGR through 2026. Continued expansion and earnings growth is expected to be underpinned by continuing the financial discipline that has been demonstrated in recent years and modernizing the network to improve safety and reliability, reduce operating costs, drive better stakeholder outcomes and provide optionality for the fuels of the future.
- In the Midstream segment AltaGas is positioned to grow normalized EBITDA at healthy rates through 2026, which will be underpinned by continued optimization, brownfield expansions and eventually larger growth initiatives across the value chain. These efforts will continue to be heavily focused on connecting customers and markets, centered on global exports and support the continued development of the Montney, particularly in Northeastern B.C.
CEO MESSAGE
“We remain focused on advancing our corporate strategy as a leading North American energy infrastructure company, safely connecting customers to reliable and affordable sources of energy, for today and tomorrow and executing our near-, medium- and long-term strategic priorities” said Randy Crawford, AltaGas’ President and Chief Executive Officer. “We expect to close out 2021 with strong operational and financial results that are in line with our 2021 guidance ranges, which we increased in the second quarter of 2021. We have also shown marked progress on our deleveraging goals this year, which have strengthened our balance sheet, improved our financial flexibility, and positioned the Company to continue to execute on the large growth opportunities ahead.
“We are also pleased to share our 2021 ESG Report. I am proud of the strategic advancements we have made as a company this year and the fact that we did so in a manner consistent with our strong environmental, social and governance practices. ESG practices are embedded in all aspects of our business and decision making from risk management to capital allocation and business development. Our business and climate strategies are aligned, and we are committed to doing our part to reduce GHG emissions within the areas we control, and we are setting specific goals to mark the next phase in our journey of continuous improvement.
“It has been approximately three years since we laid out our plan to reposition AltaGas into a lower-risk, high-growth Utilities and Midstream company. Since then, it has been a period of immense transformation and change, where we have delivered industry-leading EPS and FFO per share growth while de-risking our balance sheet and developing a robust future growth pipeline. Through it all, we have been focused on building a sustainable future and investing in better outcomes for all our stakeholders and that will continue to be our focus in the years ahead.
“Our Utilities platform provides us with the opportunity to continue to invest in the safety and reliability of our systems while improving the customer value proposition and lowering costs. Investing in Accelerated Replacement Programs (“ARPs”) drive our visible and resilient earnings growth, which benefits from our persistent regulatory strategy designed to keep our rates current, combined with acute capital discipline, and our progress toward reducing operating costs and leak rates. These investments provide us with visible, lower-risk growth that should increase our rate base by eight to ten percent per annum through 2026. They will also provide AltaGas the foundation for the delivery of carbon-free solutions in the years ahead.
“Our Midstream business is underpinned by our global export strategy and today marks the one-year anniversary since we expanded our export platform through the acquisition of Petrogas. Our increased ownership and the ability to operate Ferndale has provided us with additional scale and has positioned us to realize synergies and increased optionality. The underlying competitive advantage of our distinctive export business is the structural shipping advantage, and it positions us to capture more global market opportunities for our customers.”
2022 GUIDANCE
After delivering an anticipated 22 percent year-over-year increase in 2021 normalized EPS and 15 percent increase in normalized EBITDA using the midpoint of guidance, AltaGas expects to achieve normalized EPS of $1.80 – $1.95 and normalized EBITDA of $1.50 billion – $1.55 billion in 2022, representing approximately nine percent and two percent year-over-year growth using mid-point of guidance, respectively.
Growth in AltaGas’ core Utilities and Midstream businesses are expected to more than offset the lost normalized EBITDA associated with the divestiture of the U.S. Transportation and Storage business, which was completed in the first quarter of 2021 and the business had realized larger-than-normal profits prior to its sale due to short-term commodity price dislocations. Prior to the divestiture, the U.S. Transportation and Storage business had contributed normalized EBITDA of approximately $115 million in 2021.
Approximately 56 percent of 2022 normalized EBITDA is expected to be generated by the Utilities segment, up from 52 percent in 2021. Utilities normalized EBITDA is expected to grow by 10 percent year-over-year driven by: 1) continued rate base growth through a disciplined capital program, including ARP spending; 2) achieving higher returns on equity through a disciplined regulatory strategy and cost management; and 3) continued customer growth. Approximately 45 percent of 2022 normalized EBITDA is expected to be generated by the Midstream segment representing a decrease of approximately seven percent year-over-year. Outside of the U.S. Transportation and Storage business, the Midstream segment is expected to grow by approximately eight percent, underpinned by higher volumes and utilization at the Company’s existing Northeastern B.C. facilities and two LPG export facilities and higher expected fractionation and global export margins.
2022 CAPITAL
AltaGas’ 2022 capital expenditure plan of approximately $995 million, excluding ARO, is heavily weighted towards the lower-risk Utilities and is comprised primarily of ARP and system betterment projects that are anticipated to deliver stable and transparent rate base growth and strong risk-adjusted returns. The Company is allocating approximately 31 percent of AltaGas’ consolidated 2022 capital to ARPs in its Utilities business, representing approximately 40 percent of the total 2022 Utilities capital program. The Company expects to maintain its self-funding model in 2022 and fund its capital requirements through internally generated cash flows and existing financial capacity, with no expectation to issue equity. Asset sales will be considered on an opportunistic basis, and proceeds will be used to de-lever and strengthen the balance sheet and continue to increase financial flexibility and the margin of safety in the business.
Segment |
Total Capital |
Identified Projects |
Utilities |
78% |
|
Midstream |
~20% |
|
Corporate |
~2% |
2021 ESG Report
Today, AltaGas also released its 2021 ESG Report. The report covers the Company’s enterprise-wide ESG performance data for 2020 and key highlights from 2021. The report also highlights the Company’s approach to ESG and outlines long-term goals related to climate, diversity and inclusion, and safety. This includes:
- Reducing Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions intensity 40 percent by 2030 from a 2019 baseline within the Midstream businesses and for our Utilities business, reducing Washington Gas’Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions by at least 30 percent by 2030 from a 2008 baseline while targeting to deliver at least 10 percent of fuel from low carbon sources by 2030.
- Striving to achieve at least 40 percent female representation at vice president and above levels enterprise wide by 2030, while maintaining gender balance with at least 40% male representation.
- Increasing overall diversity on the Board from 45% to 50% by 2025.
- Improving Total Reportable Injury Frequency by 12 percent, from a 2020 base, focusing on continuous improvement and setting subsequent annual yearly goals to mark our journey to incident free operations.
As AltaGas continues to pursue operational excellence across the enterprise, the Company is committed to maintaining transparent and consistent reporting. The 2021 ESG report represents a significant advancement in the adoption of reporting and disclosure standards.
Select ESG Goals:
Climate |
Diversity & Inclusion |
Safety |
Utilities Goals |
Management Goals |
TRIF Goal |
|
|
|
Midstream Goals |
Board Goals |
|
|
|
CONFERENCE CALL AND WEBCAST DETAILS
The Company will host an Investor Day today, December 15, 2021. The event will be held virtually via webcast from Calgary, Alberta and Washington D.C. Members of AltaGas’ executive team will provide updates on the Company’s corporate vision, strategy and outlook, along with AltaGas’ near-term priorities and 2022 financial guidance.
- Time: 8:00 a.m. MT (10:00 a.m. ET or 15:00 GMT London)
- Webcast Registration: https://investorday.altagas.com/
- Dial-in: U.S. and Canada Toll Free: (844) 776-0516
- International: (646) 632-1756
- Passcode: 7197381
The webcast, presentations and other materials will be available shortly after the conclusion of the event on AltaGas’ website at https://www.altagas.ca/invest/events-and-presentations.