Crude output is expected to hit records in parts of Texas and New Mexico, the heart of U.S. shale activity. Sand supplies are so tight that it is slowing the pace of work for some oil drillers, and higher costs for sand are eating into the bottom line for others.
But demand is still heavy as drillers look to cash in on crude prices that this week touched $95 a barrel, the highest in roughly seven years. Crude slid about 4% from those peaks on Tuesday but remained well above $90 a barrel.
“We can’t get enough sand. We’re running less than the number of (fracking) stages we could pump in a day because we’ve run out of sand every day,” said Michael Oestmann, CEO of private equity-backed Tall City Exploration, which operates in the Permian basin of west Texas, the largest U.S. shale region.
“Ultimately it will slow everyone down if it doesn’t resolve itself.”
Once over-built and oversupplied, the sand markets have been turned upside down. Consultancy Rystad estimates that spot prices are between $50 and $70 a ton — a giant leap from prices in early teens at the start of the pandemic and sharply above last year’s levels of $20 to $25 per ton.
Rystad Researcher Artem Abramov called current prices for frack sand “unheard of in the industry’s modern history.” Tight supplies will probably push sand prices even higher, Abramov said. He estimates that one to two in-basin sand mines have been idled at any given time since December.
U.S. shale production is expected to rise by 109,000 barrels per day in March, to 8.7 million bpd, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The Permian Basin is expected to see output rise to 5.2 million bpd in March, which would be a record, and there are now 301 oil rigs operating in that basin, the most since April 2020.
U.S. frackers added three crews in the first week of February, boosting the total to 264 from roughly 167 this time last year, according to consultancy Primary Vision.
The sand market is so tight Oestmann said, because fewer people have been working in the mines and there has been a shortage of truck drivers. He said his company is looking to bring sand in by rail, a sourcing method that fell out of fashion following the advent of local mines a few years ago.
“The railed sand depots were busy,” said Richard Spears, vice president of oilfield consultancy Spears & Associates, of a recent trip to west Texas. “When that source is kicking in at high volume, and the local mine is full out, you know you’ve got a challenge.”
Much of the sand being railed in is coming from Wisconsin, according to Rystad.
U.S. independent fracking firm Liberty Oilfield Services, which recently acquired a last-mile sand delivery firm PropX, last week said it had seen bottleneck challenges around sand in the Permian basin, both in regards to availability and transportation.