Spot premiums for physical crude have slipped from record highs reached earlier during the Iran war as refiners are drawing on inventories and cutting back processing to cope with lost Middle East supply, traders and analysts said. Since the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran that began on February 28 caused the near-total closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the global market has lost access to 500 million barrels of crude and refined products output, according to analysts at Citi. That sparked surging [Read more]
Barclays sees faster oil supply growth from UAE after its exit from OPEC
The United Arab Emirates' decision to quit OPEC would result in faster oil supply growth from the country as it comes out of the current crisis, Barclays said late Tuesday. The UAE, the fourth-largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, said on Tuesday it would exit the group on May 1. The announcement could assure potential investors that the country's economic recovery would not be constrained by OPEC+ production quotas, Barclays said in a note late on [Read more]
HSBC sees limited near-term impact on OPEC+ from UAE’s departure
The United Arab Emirates' planned exit from OPEC and the wider OPEC+ alliance from May 2026 is expected to have limited immediate impact on oil markets but could weaken the group's supply discipline and price-management ability over time, HSBC said in a research note on Tuesday. The UAE, one of OPEC's largest producers, said on Tuesday it would leave both OPEC and OPEC+, dealing a blow to the producers' group as the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran disrupts energy flows. In the near term, HSBC [Read more]
Main measures announced in Canada economic statement
Here are some of the main new measures that the Canadian government announced in a spring economic statement on Tuesday. * a new nationwide effort to recruit, train, and hire 80,000 to 100,000 new skilled trade workers by 2030/31. This will involve an initial C$2 billion investment over five years. Once workers are in training, the government is proposing an additional C$3.4 billion in grants over five years to ensure people compete their courses * reducing the contribution rate of the [Read more]
UAE exit strips OPEC of clout, risks bitter price war: Bousso
The United Arab Emirates’ decision to leave OPEC will sharply diminish the 65-year-old producer group’s influence over the oil market, opening the door to an all-out price war once Gulf producers rush to regain market share when the Iran war is over. The surprise move comes at a time of unprecedented turmoil in energy markets as Gulf oil and gas exports have remained largely paralysed for two months due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which has muted OPEC’s traditional ability to manage [Read more]
World Bank forecasts 24% surge in energy prices in 2026 due to Middle East war
Energy prices are expected to surge by 24% in 2026 to their highest level since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine four years ago, if the most acute disruptions caused by the war in the Middle East end in May, the World Bank said on Tuesday. Commodity prices could rise even further if hostilities in the region escalated and supply disruptions lasted longer than expected, the global development bank said in its latest Commodity Markets Outlook. The bank said its baseline scenario [Read more]
UAE to leave OPEC and OPEC+ oil producer groups – analyst reactions
(Adds quote) LONDON, April 28 - The United Arab Emirates said on Tuesday it was quitting OPEC and OPEC+, dealing a heavy blow to the oil exporting groups and their de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, at a time when the Iran war has caused a historic energy shock and unsettled the global economy. Here are some analyst reactions to the news. JORGE LEON, ANALYST AT RYSTAD: "The UAE withdrawal marks a significant shift for OPEC. Alongside Saudi Arabia, it is one of the few members with [Read more]
UAE leaves OPEC and OPEC+ in major blow to global oil producers’ group
The United Arab Emirates said on Tuesday it was quitting OPEC and OPEC+, dealing a heavy blow to the oil exporting groups and their de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, at a time when the Iran war has caused a historic energy shock and unsettled the global economy. The loss of the UAE, a longstanding OPEC member, could create disarray and weaken the group, which has usually sought to show a united front despite internal disagreements over a range of issues from geopolitics to production [Read more]
Investor Kimmeridge urges Devon to pursue asset sales after Coterra merger
Kimmeridge on Tuesday urged shale producer Devon Energy's incoming board to swiftly pursue asset sales, improve capital allocation and revamp executive pay to boost shareholder returns after its merger with Coterra Energy closes. Investment firm Kimmeridge, a well-known activist investor in the energy sector, holds about a 1.4% stake in Devon, according to LSEG data. Kimmeridge said the combined company risks a "conglomerate discount" unless it streamlines its business and focuses on [Read more]
BP profit beats expectations at $3.2 billion, driven by Middle East trading boon
BP on Tuesday posted a first-quarter underlying replacement cost profit, its version of net income, of $3.2 billion, compared with expectations of $2.67 billion in a company-provided poll of analysts and $1.38 billion a year ago. BP's customers and products business, including its oil trading desk which BP had already flagged as having an exceptionally strong quarter, beat expectations with a $3.2 billion profit before interest and tax, compared with an average analyst estimate of $2.5 billion. [Read more]
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