BOE Report

MEG Energy announces preliminary 2020 fourth quarter and full year financial and operating data

CALGARY, AB – MEG Energy Corp. (“MEG” or the “Company”) (TSX: MEG) announced today its preliminary estimates of expected ranges of certain financial and operating data for the three months and year ended December 31, 2020.

The table below presents management’s preliminary estimates, based on the information and data currently available to management, of expected ranges of certain financial and operating data for the three months and year ended December 31, 2020. The line items in the table for the three months ended December 31, 2020 and year ended December 31, 2020 are estimates and are subject to finalization. Based on estimated results for the fourth quarter of 2020, MEG anticipates achieving results largely in line with its previously disclosed 2020 guidance.

Range of Expected Estimates

Actual Results

Year ended

Three months ended

Three months ended

Dec 31,

Dec 31,

Sep 30,

Jun 30,

Mar 31,

2020

2020

2020

2020

2020

Low

High

Low

High

Production (bbls/d)

82,250

82,500

90,500

91,750

71,516

75,687

91,557

Non-Energy Operating Costs (C$/bbl)

$4.36

$4.41

$4.60

$4.80

$3.96

$4.09

$4.57

General and Administrative Expenses(1) (C$/bbl)

$1.59

$1.66

$1.55

$1.75

$1.50

$1.29

$1.96

Capital Expenditures (C$mm)

$147

$152

$37

$42

$36

$20

$54

Cash and Cash Equivalents (C$mm)

$110

$116

$110

$116

$49

$120

$62

(1)

$ per barrel based on production volumes

Update to MEG 2021 Commodity Price Risk Management Positions

During the fourth quarter of 2020 and the first few days of 2021, MEG entered into additional financial derivatives and physical delivery contracts to manage commodity price risk. MEG’s current commodity price risk management contracts, including those entered into in the fourth quarter of 2020 and the first few days of 2021, are summarized below:

Forecast Period

Q1 2021

Q2 2021

Q3 2021

Q4 2021

2021

WTI Hedges

WTI Fixed Price Hedges

Volume (bbls/d)

37,361

13,000

–

–

12,590

Weighted average fixed WTI price (US$/bbl)

$48.28

$46.31

–

–

$47.77

Enhanced WTI Fixed Price Hedges with Sold Put Options(1)

Volume (bbls/d)

29,000

29,000

29,000

29,000

29,000

Weighted average fixed WTI price (US$/bbl) /

$46.18 /

$46.18 /

$46.18 /

$46.18 /

$46.18 /

Put option strike price (US$/bbl)

$38.79

$38.79

$38.79

$38.79

$38.79

WTI:WCS Differential Hedges

Volume(2) (bbls/d)

10,667

20,000

–

–

7,667

Weighted average fixed WTI:WCS differential (US$/bbl)

($14.73)

($14.47)

–

–

$14.56

Condensate Hedges

Volume(3) (bbls/d)

15,495

18,211

14,028

14,028

15,440

Weighted average % of WTI landed in Edmonton (%)(4)

96%

96%

96%

95%

96%

Natural Gas Hedges

Volume(5) (GJ/d)

57,700

42,500

42,500

42,500

46,250

Weighted average fixed AECO price (C$/GJ)

$2.64

$2.61

$2.61

$2.61

$2.62

Power Hedges

Quantity(6) (MW)

10

15

15

15

14

Weighted average fixed price (C$/MW-h)

$63.83

$63.83

$63.83

$63.83

$63.83

(1)

If in any month of 2021 the month average WTI settlement price is US$38.79 per barrel (the sold put option) or higher, MEG will receive US$46.18 per barrel (the fixed price swap) on hedged 2021 production in that month. If in any month of 2021 the month average WTI settlement price is less than US$38.79 per barrel, MEG will receive the month average WTI settlement price in that month plus US$7.39 per barrel (the swap spread) on each barrel hedged in that month.

(2)

Includes 10,000 bbls/d (Q1) and 15,000 bbls/d (Q2) of physical forward blend sales at fixed WTI:AWB differentials.

(3)

Includes approximately 4,500 bbls/d of physical forward condensate purchases for the full year 2021 (annual average).

(4)

The average % of WTI landed in Edmonton includes estimated net transportation costs to Edmonton.

(5)

Includes 7,500 GJ/d of physical forward natural gas purchases for full year 2021 (annual average) at a fixed AECO price.

(6)

Represents physical forward power sales at a fixed power price.

About MEG

MEG is an energy company focused on sustainable in situ thermal oil production in the southern Athabasca region of Alberta, Canada. MEG is actively developing innovative enhanced oil recovery projects that utilize steam-assisted gravity drainage (“SAGD”) extraction methods to improve the responsible economic recovery of oil as well as lower carbon emissions. MEG transports and sells its thermal oil production to refiners throughout North America and internationally. MEG’s common shares are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol “MEG.”

Advisories & Contact
Forward-Looking Information

Certain statements contained in this news release may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. These statements relate to future events or MEG’s future performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking statements. The use of any of the words “anticipate”, “continue”, “estimate”, “expect”, “may”, “will”, “project”, “should”, “believe”, “dependent”, “ability” “plan”, “intend”, “target”, “potential” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by such words. These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. In particular, and without limiting the foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking statements with respect to the expected ranges of certain financial and operating data for the three months and year ended December 31, 2020, including anticipated results that are in line with previously disclosed guidance for 2020. Such forward-looking information is based on certain assumptions and analysis made by MEG in light of its experience and perception of current conditions and expected future developments as well as other factors it believes are appropriate in the circumstances. However, whether actual results, performance or achievements will conform to MEG’s expectations and predictions is subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from MEG’s expectations. Further information regarding the assumptions and risks inherent in the making of forward-looking statements can be found in MEG’s most recently filed Annual Information Form (“AIF”), along with MEG’s other public disclosure documents. Copies of the AIF and MEG’s other public disclosure documents are available through the Company’s website at www.megenergy.com/investors and through the SEDAR website at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking information included in this news release is expressly qualified in its entirety by the foregoing cautionary statements. Unless otherwise stated, the forward-looking information included in this news release is made as of the date of this news release and MEG assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information to reflect new events or circumstances, except as required by law.

For further information, please contact:

Investor Relations
T 587.293.6045
E invest@megenergy.com

Media Relations
T 587.233.8396
E media@megenergy.com 29dk2902l