Bernstein sees China’s re-opening driving half the global oil demand growth of 1.7 million barrels of oil per day (MMbls/d) in 2023.
The Nashville-based brokerage sees the remaining half coming from rest of Asia, and some demand from OECD countries.
Reduction in Russian oil exports of 1 MMbls/d and global oil demand growth of 1.7 MMbls/d will lead to a deficit of 2.7 MMbls/d to be filled with non-OPEC growth in supply – brokerage.
Sees tightening oil markets in second half of 2023 leading to higher commodity prices.
Bernstein is “overweight energy in 2023” on lower valuations and room for growth in oil prices.