CALGARY, Feb. 28, 2018 /CNW/ – TORC Oil & Gas Ltd. (“TORC” or the “Company”) (TSX: TOG) is pleased to announce financial and operating results for the three month periods and years ended December 31, 2017 and 2016 and to provide 2017 year-end reserves information as evaluated by Sproule Associates Limited (“Sproule”).
The associated Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) dated February 28, 2018 and audited financial statements as at and for the year ended December 31, 2017 can be found at www.sedar.com and www.torcoil.com.
Highlights |
Three months ended |
Year ended |
||||||||
(in thousands, except per share data) |
December 31 2017 |
September 30 2017 |
December 31 2016 |
December 31 2017 |
December 31 2016 |
|||||
Financial |
||||||||||
Adjusted funds flow, including |
||||||||||
transaction related costs (1) |
$59,973 |
$44,404 |
$51,255 |
$208,331 |
$124,464 |
|||||
Per share basic |
$0.31 |
$0.24 |
$0.28 |
$1.11 |
$0.73 |
|||||
Per share diluted |
$0.31 |
$0.24 |
$0.28 |
$1.10 |
$0.73 |
|||||
Adjusted funds flow, excluding |
||||||||||
transaction related costs (1) |
$60,589 |
$44,404 |
$51,255 |
$208,947 |
$125,137 |
|||||
Per share basic |
$0.32 |
$0.24 |
$0.28 |
$1.11 |
$0.74 |
|||||
Per share diluted |
$0.31 |
$0.24 |
$0.28 |
$1.11 |
$0.73 |
|||||
Net income (loss) |
($9,431) |
($6,335) |
$2,530 |
($10,490) |
($50,443) |
|||||
Per share basic |
($0.05) |
($0.03) |
$0.01 |
($0.06) |
($0.30) |
|||||
Per share diluted |
($0.05) |
($0.03) |
$0.01 |
($0.06) |
($0.30) |
|||||
Exploration and development |
||||||||||
expenditures |
$32,734 |
$47,302 |
$27,934 |
$129,421 |
$82,345 |
|||||
Property acquisitions, net of |
||||||||||
dispositions |
$79,775 |
$5,956 |
$212 |
$114,709 |
$94,990 |
|||||
Net debt (2) |
$280,138 |
$259,116 |
$270,900 |
$280,138 |
$270,900 |
|||||
Cash dividends declared (3) |
$7,710 |
$7,527 |
$5,296 |
$29,764 |
$23,948 |
|||||
Dividends declared per common share |
$0.060 |
$0.060 |
$0.060 |
$0.240 |
$0.265 |
|||||
Common shares |
||||||||||
Shares outstanding, end of period |
196,061 |
189,689 |
183,099 |
196,061 |
183,099 |
|||||
Weighted average shares (basic) |
191,240 |
187,987 |
182,698 |
187,417 |
169,923 |
|||||
Weighted average shares (diluted) |
192,946 |
188,913 |
184,416 |
189,025 |
171,605 |
|||||
Operations |
||||||||||
Production |
||||||||||
Crude oil (Bbls per day) |
18,350 |
17,803 |
16,440 |
17,642 |
15,588 |
|||||
NGL (Bbls per day) |
985 |
846 |
640 |
790 |
607 |
|||||
Natural gas (Mcf per day) |
15,306 |
14,059 |
15,245 |
14,634 |
14,755 |
|||||
Barrels of oil equivalent (Boepd, 6:1) |
21,886 |
20,992 |
19,621 |
20,871 |
18,654 |
|||||
Average realized price |
||||||||||
Crude oil ($ per Bbl) |
$64.58 |
$53.10 |
$56.42 |
$58.55 |
$47.92 |
|||||
NGL ($ per Bbl) |
$30.30 |
$20.28 |
$21.46 |
$24.64 |
$15.60 |
|||||
Natural gas ($ per Mcf) |
$1.40 |
$1.15 |
$2.68 |
$1.81 |
$1.88 |
|||||
Barrels of oil equivalent |
||||||||||
($ per Boe, 6:1) |
$56.49 |
$46.62 |
$50.05 |
$51.70 |
$42.04 |
|||||
Operating netback per Boe (6:1) |
$32.65 |
$25.30 |
$30.93 |
$29.91 |
$21.10 |
|||||
Adjusted funds flow netback per Boe (6:1) |
||||||||||
Including transaction related costs (1) |
$29.79 |
$22.99 |
$28.39 |
$27.35 |
$18.23 |
|||||
Excluding transaction related costs (1) |
$30.09 |
$22.99 |
$28.39 |
$27.43 |
$18.33 |
|||||
Wells drilled: |
||||||||||
Gross |
15 |
23 |
12 |
63 |
39 |
|||||
Net |
12.8 |
16.7 |
10.9 |
47.4 |
35.7 |
|||||
Success (%) |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
|||||
(1) |
Management uses these financial measures to analyze operating performance and leverage. The definitions of these measures are found in the Company’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“the MD&A”) for the three months and year ended December 31, 2017. These measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards and therefore may not be comparable with the calculation of similar measures for other companies. |
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(2) |
Net debt is calculated as current assets (excluding financial derivative assets) less: i) current liabilities (excluding financial derivative liabilities), and ii) bank debt. |
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(3) |
Cash dividends declared are net of the share dividend program participation. |
PRESIDENT’S MESSAGE
TORC has consistently focused on providing shareholders with disciplined growth and a sustainable dividend while preserving financial flexibility and ensuring the underlying business maintains a consistent decline profile. 2017 was another strong year in executing this strategy as TORC was successful in achieving per share growth in reserves, production and cash flow along with paying a stable monthly dividend to shareholders while strengthening the repeatability of the business strategy.
Through the execution of a $129.4 million capital expenditure program in 2017, TORC successfully achieved several strategic operational objectives, including maintaining production levels and maximizing free cash flow from the Company’s conventional southeast Saskatchewan assets while growing and further delineating the Company’s unconventional assets in Saskatchewan. In central Alberta, the Company continued consolidating the Cardium play which remains a core asset built to generate free cash flow.
TORC’s focus on high quality, light oil weighted assets along with disciplined financial management continued to be rewarded in 2017. During the year, free cash flow generated from the Company’s core business was used to execute on several strategic tuck-in acquisitions to further enhance the Company’s asset base. The strategic acquisitions included approximately 1,850 boepd (greater than 90% light oil) of operated, low decline, high netback light oil producing assets, adding to the Company’s significant position in southeast Saskatchewan and central Alberta. The identified locations from these strategic acquisitions more than replaced the capital program of wells drilled by the Company in 2017. In aggregate, these strategic transactions improved the Company’s decline profile, strengthened TORC’s operating netback and added high quality light oil drilling inventory.
The integrated approach of organic growth complemented by strategic lower decline acquisitions drove the Company’s growth in reserves, production and cash flow above original guidance while maintaining a decline profile of less than 25%.
TORC’s disciplined approach, focused on an efficient capital program, prudent financial management and an emphasis on maintaining a low underlying decline profile, positions TORC to take advantage of strategic opportunities as they arise. The Company will continue to be disciplined and focused while being proactive to further position and complement the Company’s asset base and business model.
HIGHLIGHTS
The Company’s achievements in the fourth quarter and year ended 2017 include the following:
- Achieved record production of 21,886 boepd in the fourth quarter of 2017, a 12% increase (7% per share) from 19,621 boepd in the fourth quarter of 2016;
- Average production increased to 20,871 boepd in 2017, up from 18,654 boepd in 2016;
- Production growth was achieved while maintaining the Company’s decline rate at approximately 23%;
- Successfully drilled 15 (12.8 net) wells in the fourth quarter; in 2017, the Company drilled 63 (47.4 net) successful wells;
- Generated cash flow of $60.6 million in the fourth quarter and $208.9 million for 2017;
- Cash flow per share was $0.32 per share in the fourth quarter and $1.11 per share for 2017 relative to $0.28 in the fourth quarter of 2016 and $0.74 in 2016;
- Paid dividends of $0.06 per share in the fourth quarter; paid dividends of $0.24 per share in 2017;
- Achieved a payout ratio of 76% while organically growing production;
- Exited 2017 with a strong balance sheet with net debt of $280.1 million ($242.7 million drawn on an available credit facility of $400 million);
- Increased the Company’s high quality light oil development drilling inventory through organic delineation and strategic acquisitions;
- Increased the Company’s light oil asset base through value accretive strategic acquisitions adding over 1,850 boepd (greater than 90% light oil), improving the corporate decline profile, operating netbacks and light oil drilling inventory;
- Proved Developed Producing reserves increased to 46.0 mmboe from 40.9 mmboe at year-end 2016, representing growth of 12% (6% per share);
- Proved reserves increased to 74.0 mmboe from 64.4 mmboe at year-end 2016, representing growth of 15% (8% per share);
- Proved plus Probable reserves increased to 114.1 mmboe from 99.6 mmboe at year-end 2016, representing growth of 15% (8% per share);
- Proved plus probable reserve life index remained at 13.9 years at year-end 2017; and
- Generated a Proved plus Probable reserve replacement ratio on production of approximately 175%, excluding the effects of acquisitions.
TORC demonstrated cost effective reserves growth while focusing on a combination of development drilling along with the continued strategic delineation of the Company’s asset base. In 2017, TORC’s capital spending was focused on development operations in the southeast Saskatchewan conventional core area while also further delineating and developing the Torquay/Three Forks resource play in southeast Saskatchewan and the Cardium play in Alberta. TORC’s capital spending program in 2017 resulted in the following:
- Proved plus probable F&D (including future development costs) of $15.09/boe resulting in a recycle ratio of 2.0x (2017 operating netback); and
- Proved plus Probable FD&A (including future development costs) of $16.96/boe resulting in a recycle ratio of 1.8x (2017 operating netback).
RESERVES
In this press release, all references to reserves are to gross Company reserves, meaning TORC’s working interest reserves before deductions of royalties and before consideration of TORC’s royalty interests. The reserves were evaluated by Sproule in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”) effective December 31, 2017. TORC’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2017 (the “AIF”) will contain TORC’s reserves data and other oil and natural gas information as mandated by NI 51-101. TORC expects to file the AIF on SEDAR by March 31, 2018.
The following tables are a summary of TORC’s petroleum and natural gas reserves, as evaluated by Sproule, effective December 31, 2017, using Sproule’s year end forecast prices and costs. It should not be assumed that the estimates of future net revenues presented in the tables below represent the fair market value of the reserves. There is no assurance that the forecast prices and cost assumptions will be attained and variances could be material. The recovery and reserve estimates of our crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. It is important to note that the recovery and reserves estimates provided herein are estimates only. Actual reserves may be greater or less than the estimates provided herein. Reserves information may not add due to rounding.
Reserves Summary
Light and Crude Oil (mbbl) |
Conventional |
NGLs (mbbl) |
Total Oil (mboe) |
||
Proved |
|||||
Developed Producing |
36,259 |
40,984 |
2,860 |
45,950 |
|
Developed Non-Producing |
1,330 |
2,718 |
147 |
1,930 |
|
Undeveloped |
19,761 |
28,866 |
1,593 |
26,165 |
|
Total Proved |
57,350 |
72,569 |
4,600 |
74,045 |
|
Probable |
30,430 |
43,064 |
2,434 |
40,041 |
|
Total Proved plus Probable |
87,780 |
115,632 |
7,034 |
114,086 |
Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue
Before Future Income Tax Expenses and Discounted at |
||||||
0% |
5% |
10% |
15% |
20% |
||
($mm) |
($mm) |
($mm) |
($mm) |
($mm) |
||
Proved |
||||||
Developed Producing |
1,420 |
1,118 |
925 |
792 |
695 |
|
Developed Non-Producing |
43 |
34 |
27 |
23 |
19 |
|
Undeveloped |
592 |
398 |
273 |
190 |
133 |
|
Total Proved |
2,055 |
1,550 |
1,225 |
1,005 |
847 |
|
Probable |
1,430 |
867 |
592 |
434 |
334 |
|
Total Proved plus Probable |
3,485 |
2,417 |
1,817 |
1,439 |
1,182 |
Future Development Costs
Proved Reserves ($mm) |
Proved Plus Probable ($mm) |
|
2018 |
138.5 |
188.1 |
2019 |
141.7 |
205.1 |
2020 |
151.7 |
212.0 |
2021 |
63.7 |
140.4 |
Total Undiscounted |
496.2 |
746.3 |
Capital Expenditures and Finding, Development, and Acquisition Costs
Reserves Additions |
F&D and FD&A |
|||||||||
Excluding Change in Future Development Costs |
Capital Expenditures ($mm) |
Proved Developed Producing (mmboe) |
Total Proved (mmboe) |
Proved Plus Probable (mmboe) |
Proved Developed Producing ($/boe) |
Total Proved ($/boe) |
Proved Plus Probable ($/boe) |
|||
Exploration & Development(1) |
125.5 |
8.8 |
11.1 |
12.9 |
14.25 |
11.30 |
9.71 |
|||
Acquisitions (net)(2) |
121.1 |
3.9 |
6.2 |
9.2 |
31.00 |
19.58 |
13.15 |
|||
Total |
246.6 |
12.7 |
17.3 |
22.1 |
19.40 |
14.26 |
11.14 |
Capital Expenditures |
Reserves Additions |
F&D and FD&A |
||||||||||
Including Change in Future Development Costs |
Total Proved ($mm) |
Proved Plus Probable ($mm) |
Total Proved (mmboe) |
Proved Plus Probable (mmboe) |
Total Proved ($/boe) |
Proved Plus Probable ($/boe) |
||||||
Exploration & Development(1) |
172.1 |
195.0 |
11.1 |
12.9 |
15.50 |
15.09 |
||||||
Acquisitions (net)(2) |
162.1 |
180.2 |
6.2 |
9.2 |
26.21 |
19.57 |
||||||
Total |
334.2 |
375.2 |
17.3 |
22.1 |
19.33 |
16.96 |
1. |
Excludes Capitalized G&A of $3.4mm; excludes capital of $4.0mm spent on acquired properties. |
2. |
Includes $4.0mm of capital spent on acquired properties from the date of acquisition to period end. |
Net Asset Value per Share as at December 31, 2017
($millions except share and per share amounts) |
|
Proved Plus Probable Reserve Value NPV10 BT |
1,817 |
Undeveloped Land and Seismic (1) |
128 |
Net Debt |
(280) |
Total Net Assets (basic) |
1,665 |
Basic Common Share Outstanding (mm) |
196 |
Estimated NAV per Basic Common Share |
$8.49 |
1. |
Includes management estimates of $106mm of the value of approximately 315,000 net acres of undeveloped land and $22mm to seismic. |
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
With continued success of the 2017 capital program and the Company’s solid underlying production profile, TORC achieved record production of 21,886 boepd during the fourth quarter while exiting the year more than 22,500 boepd. TORC spent a total of $129.4 million of exploration and development capital, including drilling 63 (47.4 net) wells with 100% success.
SOUTHEAST SASKATCHEWAN
TORC’s southeast Saskatchewan conventional assets are characterized by their lower risk nature and high rates of return driven by lower capital costs, high operating netbacks and an attractive royalty regime in Saskatchewan. With a long term production decline profile of less than 20% and high operating netbacks, the southeast Saskatchewan conventional assets yield significant free cash flow in the current commodity price environment.
TORC drilled 31 (22.3 net) southeast Saskatchewan conventional wells in 2017, with 13 (10.8 net) wells drilled in the fourth quarter. In 2017, TORC was successful in maintaining a low cost structure in drilling, completion and equipping costs on conventional wells through both operational efficiencies and managing oilfield service costs. In addition to effective cost management, outperformance of wells relative to expectations further enhanced the already attractive capital efficiencies and economics.
TORC continues to identify more than 400 net undrilled conventional locations in southeast Saskatchewan providing numerous years of high quality drilling inventory. In 2018, TORC plans to drill 44 (37.2 net) conventional wells. The focus on TORC’s southeast Saskatchewan conventional properties is to generally maintain a flat production profile and maximize free cash flow from the assets.
On the Company’s unconventional asset base in southeast Saskatchewan, TORC has been active on the Torquay/Three Forks light oil resource play. During 2017, TORC executed on a development program drilling 13 gross (10.0 net) successful wells in the play. Based on the Company’s results from this program, TORC will continue to increase capital allocated to this resource play with plans to drill 17 gross (13.5 net) wells during 2018, including 6 gross (4.0 net) wells in the first quarter. TORC has currently identified more than 150 net undrilled locations for future growth.
TORC has established prospective land positions in a number of areas that have the potential for unconventional Midale exploitation. TORC has been active on the emerging unconventional Midale light oil resource play drilling six gross (4.7 net) wells in the fourth quarter of 2017 and an additional 5 (3.3 net) wells in the first quarter of 2018. To date the Company has been very encouraged with the initial results from this delineation activity. The Company plans to drill 12 gross (11.0 net) wells spread across the Company’s land position for both the development and further delineation of this play in 2018.
Together, the conventional and unconventional southeast Saskatchewan capital allocation represents approximately 77% of the overall drilling, completion and tie-in capital budget during 2018.
CARDIUM
TORC has greater than 95 net light oil sections in the Cardium trend where the Company continues to identify more than 290 net undrilled locations on the Company’s asset base. During 2017, the Cardium continued to deliver solid results in this established light oil resource play. TORC drilled a total of 11 (9.7 net) Cardium wells which includes drilling 2 (2.0 net) Cardium wells in the fourth quarter.
With a decline profile of less than 25%, the Cardium play continues to generate substantial free flow in the current commodity price environment supporting the sustainability and repeatability of the Company’s business objectives.
In 2018, TORC plans to drill 12 gross (10.5 net) wells across the Company’s land position in the Cardium.
CAPITAL PROGRAM AND PRODUCTION GUIDANCE
TORC’s $165 million capital expenditure budget for 2018 is consistent with the Company’s long term strategic objectives of delivering disciplined per share growth in combination with maintaining financial flexibility while providing a sustainable dividend. The focus of the 2018 program is to provide 5-7% organic production growth while sustaining the Company’s decline profile to maintain repeatability of this growth profile.
TORC continuously focuses on initiatives to preserve financial flexibility and improve capital efficiencies and operating costs. Significant oilfield service cost savings were achieved over the past few years of industry downturn. TORC has budgeted for a modest increase in service costs due to increasing industry activity with budgeted full cycle capital efficiencies of approximately $26,000 per boepd in 2018, up from 2017 budget levels of $24,000 per boepd. Although service costs are anticipated to increase, TORC will continue to focus on operational efficiencies with a goal of achieving results that exceed budget expectations.
The 2018 capital program remains concentrated on the Company’s primary core area in southeast Saskatchewan, focused on both conventional opportunities and unconventional opportunituies, as well as the Cardium play in central Alberta. The Company remains well positioned to achieve the previously announced 2018 average and exit production guidance of approximately 23,000 boepd and 23,800 boepd respectively, while again maintaining a corporate decline profile of approximately 23%, which is essential to the ongoing sustainability of TORC’s long term growth model.
TORC has the operational flexibility to adjust the current 2018 budget depending on the prevailing commodity price environment. Based on current commodity prices and budgeted cost structure, TORC is expected to achieve significant free cash flow in 2018 after organically growing production 5-7% and paying the current dividend. This free cash flow positions the Company to take advantage of opportunities as they arise to enhance debt adjusted returns to investors beyond the current dividend and organic growth targets. In 2017, free cash flow was used to execute on a number of strategic tuck-in acquisitions on a value accretive basis that not only provided additional accretive growth, but also enhanced the underlying business. TORC continues to focus on business and value accretive acquisitions as the primary use of free cash flow in the current environment.
DIVIDEND
TORC’s dividend is reviewed regularly with the Board of Directors and is an important component of TORC’s overall strategy. TORC paid dividends of $0.24 per share in 2017, of which $0.06 was paid in the fourth quarter of 2017.
During 2017, TORC declared dividends of $45.1 million of which $15.3 million was paid under the share dividend program (SDP).
The Board of Directors has confirmed a dividend of $0.02 per common share will be paid on March 15, 2018 to shareholders of record on February 28, 2018.
OUTLOOK
TORC has built a sustainable growth platform of light oil focused assets and continues to enhance this platform. The stability of the high quality, low decline, light oil assets in southeast Saskatchewan and the low risk Cardium development inventory in central Alberta, combined with exposure to unconventional light oil resource plays in southeast Saskatchewan, positions TORC to provide value creation through a disciplined long term focused growth strategy with a sustainable dividend.
TORC has the following key operational and financial attributes:
High Netback Production (1) |
2018E Average: 23,000 boepd 2018E Exit: 23,800 boepd |
Total Proved plus Probable Reserves (2) |
Greater than 114 mmboe (~83% light oil & liquids) |
Cardium Light Oil Development Inventory |
Greater than 290 net undrilled locations |
Southeast Saskatchewan Light Oil Development Inventory |
Greater than 400 net undrilled conventional locations Greater than 150 net undrilled Torquay/Three Forks locations |
Sustainability Assumptions (3) |
Corporate decline ~23% Capital Efficiency ~$26,000 per boepd (IP 365) |
2018 Capital Program |
$165 million |
Annual Dividend (paid monthly) |
$0.02 per share $47 million $33 million (net of assumed 30% SDP participation) |
Net Debt & Bank Debt (4) |
$280 million $242 million drawn on a bank line of $400 million |
Shares Outstanding |
196 million (basic) |
Tax Pools |
Approximately $1.6 billion |
Notes: |
|
(1) |
~87% light oil & NGLs. |
(2) |
All reserves information in this press release are gross reserves. The reserve information in the foregoing table is derived from the independent engineering report effective December 31, 2017 prepared by Sproule & Associates Limited (“Sproule”) evaluating the oil, NGL and natural gas reserves attributable to all of our properties (the “TORC Reserve Report”. |
(3) |
Refers to full cycle capital efficiency which is the all-in corporate capital budget divided by the IP365 of the associated wells. Corporate decline refers to TORC’s estimated oil and gas production decline rate in the normal life cycle of a well. |
(4) |
See “Non-GAAP Measures”. |
An updated corporate presentation can be found at www.torcoil.com.